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_delirium

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Why is everyone's robot folding clothes?

spectrum.ieee.org
2 points·by _delirium·3 miesiące temu·0 comments

Kill Chain

artificialbureaucracy.substack.com
21 points·by _delirium·4 miesiące temu·4 comments

The allegations against a San Francisco social climber accused of sex crimes

sfstandard.com
6 points·by _delirium·5 miesięcy temu·0 comments

Elon Musk's Sci-Fi Hyperloop Failed

washingtonian.com
9 points·by _delirium·5 miesięcy temu·2 comments

AI and jobs: The decline started before ChatGPT

engineeringprompts.substack.com
4 points·by _delirium·6 miesięcy temu·1 comments

Corporate Governance Authoritarianism

businesslawprofessors.com
3 points·by _delirium·6 miesięcy temu·0 comments

The Returns to Government R&D: Evidence from U.S. Appropriations Shocks

dallasfed.org
12 points·by _delirium·9 miesięcy temu·0 comments

America Isn't Pivoting to Natural Gas

distilled.earth
4 points·by _delirium·10 miesięcy temu·1 comments

A pocketbook history of postwar US macro regimes

drafts.interfluidity.com
3 points·by _delirium·10 miesięcy temu·0 comments

comments

_delirium
·25 dni temu·discuss
I find it kind of funny that the last time a partial member list leaked (a few years ago) it was because they tried to invite Andrew Gelman and he mocked it on his blog: https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2022/02/16/hey-i-got-...

I guess he didn't get invited again.
_delirium
·w zeszłym miesiącu·discuss
Any of the direct indexing providers will let you blacklist individual stocks from the index. The intended use is to exclude stocks you hold elsewhere (or receive as stock grants) to avoid causing wash sales, but it can also be easily used to make a custom "S&P 499".
_delirium
·2 miesiące temu·discuss
The article does discuss union collective bargaining agreements and labor cost structure in several sections.

> Labor costs might seem variable, but they’re actually not: pilot, flight attendant, and mechanic compensation in the United States is governed by the Railway Labor Act of 1926 (which was extended to airlines in 1936), which stipulates that collective bargaining agreements don’t actually expire but rather remain in force until they’re replaced. So even your wage bill is more or less fixed over multi-year horizons.

> Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection—which allows a company to continue operating while it restructures its debts under court supervision—is practically the only mechanism by which an airline can renegotiate its rigid cost structure, from aircraft leases to collective bargaining agreements. Oftentimes this renegotiation takes on a rather predatory character. When United Airlines filed for bankruptcy in 2002 in the aftermath of the September 11th attacks, it terminated its pension plan...

> So Chapter 11 is a relief valve for airlines struggling under the weight of their fixed costs; but it doesn’t really do much to help the system as a whole. For airlines, bankruptcy rarely culminates with liquidation; airlines that emerge from bankruptcy proceedings, having voided pension obligations and rejected aircraft leases, can operate at a fundamentally lower cost basis than their competitors. So bankruptcy doesn’t really restore the industry to a competitive equilibrium that can cover the cost of capital: it resets the floor at a lower level, from which a new round of ruinous competition can begin.
_delirium
·3 miesiące temu·discuss
Hard to square that with how good open-weights models are getting? I'm doing stuff with Qwen3.5-4b that required a frontier hosted model less than a year ago.
_delirium
·4 miesiące temu·discuss
It's not just an inner city issue. Rural areas in the U.S. are bad too! Parts of the rural south and rural midwest have homicide rates that are completely off the charts for a first-world country (Holmes County, MS; Scioto County, OH; McDowell County, WV).
_delirium
·4 miesiące temu·discuss
The key part to me:

> Congress wrote to the Secretary of Defense about the extent of AI use in the strikes. The New Yorker asked whether Claude could be trusted to obey orders in combat, whether it might resort to blackmail as a self-preservation strategy, and whether the Pentagon’s chief concern should be that the chatbot had a personality. Almost none of this had any relationship to reality. The targeting for Operation Epic Fury ran on a system called Maven. Nobody was arguing about Maven.
_delirium
·4 miesiące temu·discuss
Thank you for the link! Now that is the article I wanted on this topic.
_delirium
·4 miesiące temu·discuss
The article didn't answer my main question, which is how the economics work. How does it add up to have high-touch home delivery of $5 yogurt packages?
_delirium
·4 miesiące temu·discuss
Largely in-person gigs in the SF Bay Area, yeah. One reason the rents are up so much.
_delirium
·5 miesięcy temu·discuss
Economy-wide productivity can be measured reasonably well, although there are a few different measures [1]. The big question I guess is whether AI will make a measurable impact there. Historically tech has had less impact than people thought it would, as noted in Robert Solow's classic quip that "You can see the computer age everywhere but in the productivity statistics". [2]

[1] https://www.oecd.org/en/topics/sub-issues/measuring-producti...

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Productivity_paradox
_delirium
·5 miesięcy temu·discuss
> those new self-checkout shopping carts

I'm going to miss those. Two nice things about them compared to a normal self-checkout: 1) you see things ring up as you shop instead of at the end, which is nice in case of errors or unexpected prices, 2) you can shop directly into a reusable bag or backpack instead of repacking everything at the end.
_delirium
·6 miesięcy temu·discuss
Both sides here are $100B+ entities! But neither one is acting like it. The plaintiff is shitposting on Twitter, and the respondent is counter-shitposting on their blog (and also Twitter).
_delirium
·6 miesięcy temu·discuss
There are many unresolved gray areas around what exactly the 4th amendment permits in the way of what United States v. Knotts called "dragnet-type law enforcement practices". Knotts suggested they might not be permitted, even if they were made up of permissible individual parts, but didn't elaborate. More recent case law has held, for example, that cell phone companies turning over large quantities of records is a 4th amendment search requiring a warrant, even if they do it voluntarily (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carpenter_v._United_States). Most other types of dragnets haven't been litigated enough to have solid caselaw on their boundaries afaik.

I don't know if it's likely a court will do anything about this particular program, but from what I've read I don't think 4th amendment scholars think this area is at all settled.
_delirium
·6 miesięcy temu·discuss
> I've got more less tips than the Bible's got Psalms

But there are (at least) 150 Psalms! You're going to need more less tips to match that.
_delirium
·7 miesięcy temu·discuss
That's good to know, thanks. In my case nearly 100% of my code ends up public on GitHub, so I assume everyone's code models are training on it anyway. But would be worth considering if I had proprietary codebases.
_delirium
·7 miesięcy temu·discuss
As a third option, I've found I can do a few hours a day on the $20/mo Google plan. I don't think Gemini is quite as good as Claude for my uses, but it's good enough and you get a lot of tokens for your $20. Make sure to enable the Gemini 3 preview in gemini-cli though (not enabled by default).
_delirium
·9 miesięcy temu·discuss
The US is more like Latin America here, where top 25% does not mean you are immune to the problems of the other 75%. Your average resident of an affluent western European country does not come into daily contact with a poor resident of western Russia (except maybe through some recent drones...?). But in the US, it's hard to escape the poverty and violence unless you're closer to the top 1%. I am probably around top 20%, in an affluent part of an affluent coastal US city (but not Manhattan affluent). Still, I don't walk outside after dark because of the high crime rates. The crime rates are not as high as in the bad parts of the same city, but people are mugged on a daily basis, and even murders are uncomfortably frequent. I didn't have this problem when I lived in several different places in western Europe, which had lower incomes, but also much lower levels of violent crime. I will admit that American pay is better, but not sure about the quality of life.
_delirium
·9 miesięcy temu·discuss
Interesting to see Thiel putting forth Eliezer Yudkowsky as the possible antichrist. Hasn't Thiel himself given Yud/MIRI like $2 million?
_delirium
·9 miesięcy temu·discuss
I've found myself getting less interested in sports at all because of how pervasive sports betting has gotten. The announcers are always talking about odds and shilling gambling company sponsors, which is annoying and makes me not want to watch the games.
_delirium
·9 miesięcy temu·discuss
Inkjet printers that can do 11x17" are usually marketed under a "pro" or "business" line, but not necessarily expensive. Here's a $279 model: https://www.bestbuy.com/product/epson-workforce-pro-wf-7310-...