LLM hallucinations are a well known problem, and accepted as such by OpenAI etc... perhaps, as a group / statistically, that rises to the level of "knowing statements [can be] false"? of course, IANAL... but keen to see how it plays out.
Thanks for this.
Do you have any thoughts on Evidence Action vs GiveWell?
Looks like GiveWell supports on of EA's charities (Deworm the World), but broadly each org is looking to do similar things.
It is interesting to see which counties the population change has come from. My prior would have been that Manhattan (i.e. "New York County") has dropped a lot, while Queens and especially Kings County (i.e. Brooklyn) maybe even grew. But the data shows all counties (excl Staten Island / Richmond County) dropping ~5% over 2 years. HOWEVER... in Manhattan all that drop happened in 2021 and population actually grew ~1.5% in 2022... while in counties kept dropping ~2%/year. Certainly feels like that in Manhattan today...