> Anyway, the US and Israel can keep degrading Iran’s military and “government” by dropping bombs (or better, drones) on them every week for a decade and it won’t really be a big deal for the former.
I disagree. The huge problem here is that USAF is showing how they are doing things over and over again. For China it is a treasure trove of data and ideal place for testing of their gear to detect and later shoot down US stealth aircraft which USA is constantly threating to use against China.
The bureaucratic development process sounds like Autosar in automotive. I am not surprised that newcomers from USA and Chinese auto companies are able to completely dominate in software because Autosar based development has been like giving a birth to a hedgehog. Slow and painful.
Why does that matter? If US vendors decides to kill the service for EU customer, they can move a webserver on a different VPS within hours. Same for git. Sure you can kill GitHub, but the git repository can be moved somewhere else within minutes.
However in both cases US vendors will suffer catastrophic trust loss for rest of the world. It would be a lose-lose situation.
>Putin has a small window of time to find a way out, he is a fool not to take it.
Already there are rumors of mobilization of 1.2 million Russians after September elections. I think that Putin surrounding himself with Yes men is the main reason why Russia is going to lose this war.
Leakage of IP and training on your data is something what I am pointing out too, but people will turn around and try to smooth me down that TOS does not allow that if you are an enterprise client. Are you really going to believe that AI companies won't ignore TOS, when they were ignoring literal laws which sent others to jail in the past? Especially when more data = better model?
Go ahead and you will cause a massive uproar with untold damage to society when fathers will figure out that a lot of babies are not theirs. One of the reason why private paternity tests are illegal in France.
> 2) AI doesn't buy the products that AI produces.
Yes, this is a point I am trying to get across so many times and people can't comprehend that if everyone automates employees away, then your customers will disappear because they won't have money to buy stuff, because they don't have wage, because they were automated out of their job.
Now nobody can buy your goods or services, you are going bankrupt as well.
The AI in Sam Altman's vision is completely short-circuiting every aspect of capitalist economy.
Current AI companies with trillion USD valuations, models which costed them billions USD to train and now have total addressable market few hundred approved entities are very close to being a fad.
More like automotive software is absurd PITA to work with. If you ever touched Autosar and ARXML files for configuration you would know that getting pin to change state every 10ms is operation for at least a week.
The models for ECUs are coming in specification files, which is PDF of 20000 pages and those documents are just page after page of Matlab Simulink-like schemas. Then these two are being compiled into few megabytes of firmware which may do what you want.
Debugging is also fun when you are watching RAM of whole ECU and then digging through state machines and why this state machine triggered? Oh because Fr_Tpt_Arghux_X has been set to 1. Why? Because signal from BCM module said so. Why? You don't have NDA for that, so write down bug report and have a meeting with team working on BCM to fix the issue.
Newcomers who are not constrained by Autosar and writing models in Matlab and also having access to whole architecture will be always able to get much better software out of the door.
> US yearly spending on welfare systems: $1.80 Trillion
And maybe people should think and ask why is so much being spent with so little getting to the bottom? Medicare / Medicaid cost almost 2 Trillion USD / year. But when you will look on prices of i.e. Insulin, which is simple drug available outside of USA for 10EUR but in USA it costs 300USD out of pocket without Medicare. Now it makes sense why you got 2T in the budget when Medicare is paying for 100 years old drug like it would be a latest cancer treatment.
> Capital markets in the EU are simply unable to operate at that speed and scale.
Yeah that's true, getting investment of few million EUR to your company takes years and investors are looking at you like they are giving you their whole national budget. It is comical to the point that businesses rarely seek investments in general in Europe and you just need to grow naturally.
I don't think that this is a loophole. Anthropic would need to copy the model to the new company in Europe, which would be akin to exporting the model, which is exactly what export restrictions are restricting.
I don't think it would resolve anything. Mythos and similar models are under export protections. So even if you get hardware in EU, how are you going to get past the export protections?
I don't see a problem to be honest. People who want to will buy AC, it is not prohibited to own one. People who are stubborn and won't buy one will die. Stubborn people refusing AC are usually old people so I think it is a win/win situation.
America would never absorb tens of thousands of annual gun deaths without demanding someone introduce a gun regulation. [...] Things don’t have to be this bad. It’s a choice.
It would be like in Russia, they also did not care about politics. But when politics started caring about them, when they started being sent to frontlines, then maybe they figured out that it was a mistake to avoid being involved in politics.
I disagree. The huge problem here is that USAF is showing how they are doing things over and over again. For China it is a treasure trove of data and ideal place for testing of their gear to detect and later shoot down US stealth aircraft which USA is constantly threating to use against China.