Yea as far has hobbies go, I feel like this is on the low end. I know people who collect watches and corvettes, that's way more expensive and functionally you can't really do anything special with them.
Yea not sure who would put money into an OpenAI or Anthropic IPO at this point. After this episode I promptly bought the hardware I needed to run local models (~$25k) and am extremely impressed. The price tag alone is worth the peace of mind knowing I will always have a locally running LLM that nobody can take away. I don't need Mythos-level intelligence to do 99% of my day to day work; Opus 4.8 was more than enough and I am pretty close to that with the open source models. So what happens when this hardware inevitably gets cheaper and cheaper and people realize they can run the models they actually need locally and without handing all their data over to these companies?
Only if you're doing cutting edge research or some highly, highly niche project would you need the frontier models.
It depends what you’re doing. I have no problem using an open source model to build a static website or other simple tasks. And of course, open source is catching up and the things you can trust it with grows every month.
Not to mention the way the proprietary models patronize you if they think you’re up to no good. The other day I was trying to use Claude to transcribe a song on YouTube to sheet music; the link was broken and it had not been available for purchase for years. Of course I first had to prove to Claude that I was not just being cheap and trying to get around paying the $5 for the download, which I would have had no problem with. “I am going to be up front with you —- my research raises some red flags with your initial premise that the sheet music is no longer available…”
I think in the next 5-10 years inference costs will come down substantially and the open source models will get so advanced that only someone in an extremely niche, cutting edge field will need a frontier model. Everyone else will have a dedicated box somewhere on their network that runs their LLM of choice. No tokens, none of your data getting sent to a third party, no arguing with it over whether or not a link is actually broken or if you’re just trying to be cheap.
I think OpenAI and Anthropic realize this which is the reason they’re in a rush to go public.
They'll settle for an unregulated market. What they really want is a free market for them and their friends, and crippling regulation for their competitors.
No but every time I try to take creatine supplements I get heart palpitations. Everyone says I am crazy and that it’s impossible but I have proof from my Apple Watch, one time it was so bad it said I had atrial fibrillation. I went to a cardiologist and he acknowledged it is a possibility but he hasn’t seen it before.
Not just the workforce, my parents still barely know how to use a computer because any time they hit the slightest snag, they immediately call me for help.
I just assume any guy trying to make small talk with me at the gym is trying to hit on me, which I am correct about maybe 80% of the time. I know because I am a gay guy so I know how this kind of thing goes. Not that I have a problem with it, I am always happy to talk to any strangers if they want to, for pretty much any reason. As a straight-passing guy though, women at the gym never approach me except to ask if I am done using a machine, and I also don’t approach them because I assume they’ll just think I’m trying to hit on them. I’m just unsure how to approach people at the gym while making it immediately clear that I am just looking for a friend/workout buddy and not anything more than that
We have closed-source and open-source software, I think the next phase is going to be self-source or llm-source software (not sure what the term will ultimately end up being), but basically if you have a need for something that is not filled exactly by any app, you will just give the spec to an LLM and in X amount of minutes/hours you will have bespoke software built just for you to use personally, fully tested and to spec. For example, I still haven't found a workout/weight lifting tracking app that does 100% of what I want and at this point I may just build it myself because I could probably do it in half a day with claude and won't have to pay any annoying subscription fees. Maybe it'll still be called AI slop but if it works it works.
Yea, especially when they know all that work will be completely pointless in a few years when open source / local models will be just as good and won't have any legal limitations, so people will be generating fake images of famous people like crazy with nothing stopping them
Not sure what is so surprising. People take health advice from comedian podcasters these days. RFK Jr is HHS Secretary. Maybe 10 years ago this would be wild, but today it is completely and utterly unsurprising.