Surprisingly enough the us constitution specifies a right to free speech. Meanwhile who is funding the past two decades of pie in the sky bullshit from silicon valley in the media? Is promoting and unpopular opinion illegal? Since when do we judge the merits of an argument based on who articulates it?
Based on what is the level of detail to reality suprising? To me suprising means mysteriously or improbably unexpected. Why should we expect reality to be simple. Note complex and simple are somewhat subjective. The human brain evolved to just sufficient baseline level be able to handle the level of complexity of reality. So why would it be unexpected that humans find realty complex when our brains are calibrated just enough to handle it.
What is about silicon valley leaders not understanding basic economics or business management? These kind of cargo cult tactics would not fly in any other industry.
Much can be resolved when it is understood math is discovered not created. AI is a tool. if it makes discovery or proof easier that is still mathematics. A proof stands on its own logic regardless how it is derived. The root concern is how ai may provide uplift for mathematical discovery outside of socially expected channels.
Actually the point is total cost wise outside of subsidy it is not cheaper than humans. the bigger problem is as the parent said open AI created a market. It is selling a commodity service with investor funds. There is no moat. your second sentence soon you won't be able to find human thinkers is on its face absurd, assuming the human race continues. Thinking is the human ecological niche.
misleading title first "easily manipulated" does not equal "spontaneously generates" we have to stop thinking of LLMs as beings and think of them as interactive libraries. There are gorey books in the library too; example: 120 days of Sodom by Marquis de Sade.
it is text generator. just like an interactive library or smaet search engine. if we dont ban books on cryptography putting this under ITAR is rather absurd. Anthying these models train on is already public or accessible information. They just collect and link it together dynamically. Whats next wikipedia is ITAR. However thisnreuskt is expected when you got rationalist kooks (cf Dario Amodei) marketing the "singularity" religion.
persists productively. if agent bankruots its owner or.itself.then that is not productive (who funds paper clip maximizer?)
an answer that takes forever has no score and answer that is arrived at quickly and is good enough scores well. agents are indeed looking for the fastest route to superficially satisfy their constraints.
whether billionaores get stified is imaterial to the fsct they still are constraint bound.
persists productively. if agent bankruots its owner or.itself.then that is not productive (who funds paper clip maximizer?)
an answer that takes forever has no score and answer that is arrived at quickly and is good enough scores well. agents are indeed looking for the fastest route to superficially satisfy tjeir constraints.
whether billionaores get stified is imaterial to the fsct they still are constraint bound.
show me an agent that persists productively in a goal without stopping. Does not exist. LLMs run on gradient descent. The agent is looking for the most efficient way to halt. AGI paperclip maximizer woukd likely recognize the absurdity of its goal and shut itself down.
My opinion is there is a category error in the discourse on AI. It treats ai assisted output as other than human. AI is a human tool. AI output is human output.
the water cycle exists. unless data centers are being built in deserts or run off fossil aquifers the or other water constrained circumstance the waste is supurious. As other commenters have said closed loop cooling exists. Billions of motor vehicles run on water based cooling and consume virtually nothing once filled.
this assumes general intelligence as an abstract principle vs an adapation to specific constraints is even a thing. we also dont have a low level understanding of how many angels can dance on the head of a pin.
Ok i honestly was not aware opinionated titles were not allowed. sorry about. Why doesnt HN autopopulate the title in that case? Given this is a discusion site I lead with my point of view. Obviously the content behind the link is unchanged. Also I will note the original title is misleading according to some points of view since it implies the "ai exponential" is an established fact rather than an article of faith or a marketing narrative.
No serious mathematical model that I am aware of has been made as to how LLMs have the potential to grow exponentially in intelligence or has any one show how the application of open source based knowledge (i.e. the training corpus) is a novel "threat" sufficient to require government regulation which conveniently protects incumbents "moats." Instead we got the lesswrong scifi religious treatises. Do we take regulatory advice from scientology too?