Apropos of nothing, it's "jerry rigged". Jury-rigged is a corruption which is why it doesn't make sense. The phrase originates in World War 1 when jerry was slang for a German (and might itself have been a corruption of the word German).
Isn't military work mostly done by private contractors? It's not like the USAF actually owns and operates its own plane factories.
Some companies do approximate market operations internally, any company that has a notion of internal billing or where teams talk about internal customers is to some extent like this.
Companies not using market principles internally isn't a strike against markets, if you believe Coase's theory of the firm i.e. companies form at the break even point on transaction costs
No, why do pro-EU people lie about this so frequently?
The rules say that to join you must adopt the euro. The EU has chosen not to enforce this rule on legacy members for now, but certainly would enforce it on Britain and anyway good luck selling "we want to join but we plan to illegally ignore the rules" to either the EU or the British electorate.
Reality is the EU wasn't every opportunity in the UK and it's blue going to rejoin unless there's essentially some undemocratic coup. The moment is explained what thinking would entail the proposal is dead.
Brexit had literally no impact on this, and will likely help significantly. Remember that the eurozone has been an economic disaster for most of Western Europe outside of Germany, and now Germany is sputtering out too. The UK was "allowed" to not adopt the euro for legacy reasons but the EU would likely have demanded entry and many other harmful policies had the British accepted the argument that they couldn't leave even if they wanted to (which was the core of the remain argument).
There are a lot of people who don't believe in local control or the concept of an independent nation state. They imagine that in their preferred future all governments are merged into one, and regional differences are reduced to food, drink and local dances. Up until Brexit they imagined this future as glorious, popular and inevitable. After they realized it wasn't all that popular nor inevitable, and have been on a rear guard action to blame everything on it ever since. They hope that if they lie big enough, often enough, the lies will stick and one day this horrific aberration can be reversed. Hence why Brexit is often described as the cause of every problem the UK has even if those problems existed before then, or if no change is visible on the data, etc.
It doesn't? It says judges openly advertise things like "I will no longer evaluate and thus never vote for rightest capitalist-imperialist" along with many other positions. It also says they routinely award wins simply because they happen to like a particular "K", all this sounds a lot like a collection of instant win buttons.
Isn't the big win of superconductors that you can build batteries with them? Like, you just pump them full of power that goes round and round forever with no or trivial losses. I always heard that this was why they were interesting.
Yes, fully agree. There are a lot of unstated but unintuitive assumptions and intuitions going on in the AI risk/ethics community. It's useful to surface those.
This article segues from the failure of 80s style expert systems (in many domains) to a generic argument for x-risk and superintelligence explosions. But it doesn't address any of the obvious counter-arguments except one about the definition of intelligence, I guess because Alexander feels they're already addressed.
Once you get smart enough, you can do things that make you even smarter. AI will be one of those things. We already know that bigger blobs of compute with more training data can do more things in correlated ways - frogs are outclassed by cows, chimps, and humans; village idiots are outclassed by Einstein; GPT-2 is outclassed by GPT-4. At some point we might get a blob which is better than humans at designing chips, and then we can make even bigger blobs of compute, even faster than before.
But what about:
1. Limited to human performance by training data? OpenAI apparently aren't training GPT-5 because they think that research direction is tapped out. Their focus has been on augmenting this "superintelligence" with boring logic-based systems like calculators, Python interpreters, web browsers and 80s style expert systems like Wolfram Alpha. All this is suspiciously like what a human would need, not a superintelligence. It implies they don't think they can do another 2->3->4 style leap, probably due to lack of training data that would yield more advanced capabilities.
2. Bottlenecked by physical experimentation? Alexander casually asserts that if you trained an AI on circuit design it'd immediately do better, and that'd be used to build better AI chips, which in turn would yield a smarter AI ad infinitum. But Google already tried this and it just led to fraud claims, not better chips. And even if an LLM came up with an idea for a better chip, humans would still need to do the physical experimentation to figure out how to build them.
3. Bottlenecked by lack of imagination? LLMs can be "creative" in the artistic sense but there is a suspicious and very noticeable absence of them coming up with any genuinely interesting ideas. They can think faster than humans, and know immeasurably more, yet has anyone found even just one example of the sort of out-of-the-box thinking that would be required for AI to outsmart humans? Where are all these scientific breakthroughs the AI evangelists keep promising? GPT-4 is pretty damn smart but despite asking it many things, it never once came up with an idea I hadn't already had.
The article's examples seem to be its own undoing. There is no such thing as strength-leading-to-more-strength in some sort of recursive loop, which is why he needs such a bizarre and artificial example. Why should we believe there is for intelligence, when the history of human intelligence is a 2000 year struggle for even quite minor improvements in cognitive ability and even that is highly debatable?
Nah, they just realize that the sort of rank ideological hatred they're gonna get from the sort of people posting here isn't representative of the software industry as a whole let alone the wider world.
The iPhone is a bastion of remote attestation. You can't just rock up and download apps from the iPhone app store using a convenient API, it's restricted so only the iPhone itself can do it. Do Apple engineers hesitate to use their real names? No, because nobody cares and heck HN threads often fill up with praise over the fact that you can't even install apps outside the app store, let alone download apps from it and emulate them on a PC.
Games consoles are fully based on remote attestation. You can't connect a PC to the Xbox or PS gaming networks because they do RA to keep you out. Do the engineers who work on games consoles have to go into hiding? No, because nobody cares. HN never discusses it because it works and lots of gamers, especially the casual ones, prefer it.
Fact is that users like this tech because it solves problems that they'd otherwise have. The web lacks it and therefore has to rely on user hostile stuff like CAPTCHAs, phone codes, magic JavaScripts and social network logins which people hate, so they switch to native apps instead. And devs hate dealing with all the automated abuse they get, so that pushes them towards app-only services too.
Lol yep sure, almost every website out there uses Recaptcha, Cloudflare and similar services, but they all totally hate the guys who work on stuff like that.
The bubblethink here is out of control. A clear majority of website operators would love this tech to exist because the pile of hacks and user-hostile verification systems that currently keep bots and fraud at bay are time limited, and always have been.
What I meant is, a lackadaisical approach to billing and asking for money was common at Sun for everything software related, same thing for Java which was definitely a line item.
It's not that Germany is uniquely bad at software. It's that the USA is uniquely good.
A culture in which software people are considered to be really low status is pretty much the global default and is still common today, even in the US. I worked for American finance types before. They couldn't understand why programmers earned so much and why their software team couldn't be completely outsourced to India. They took perverse pride in having absolutely no idea what their own software stack actually did. Last time I checked they had got rid of the only people who were any good and then outsourced the rest (to India, of course), and apparently lost the ability to ship new versions of their software in the process. Even in the US many investment banks have totally dysfunctional IT, with the possible exception of Goldman which is famous for actually being good at it (although from reading the comments in this thread maybe that has changed?).
Why is there such a thing as a "tech" firm when all firms use tech? It's because tech firm is really meaning a firm created and run by programmers, as that's the only environment in which they can get respect and a productive setup. If it weren't the case companies like Amazon could never have existed because they'd have just been crushed by other better established retailers doing the internet well.