Andrew Gelman once mentioned that Black Swan events are actually routinely _overpriced_ via the Longshot Bias. [1] He had talked about this in the context of the recent Leicester FC win and the odds on that team. [2]
Honestly, I probably spent far too much time hanging out in parking lots. I grew up in NJ and I am currently 22 in my last year of University so I'm talking about '06-'12 period.
I agree. I've seen a lot of people who have no intention of "settling down" or "having kids" become surprised when their peers who do exactly that become more "successful" (earn more money, move up in job position, etc.). I think making the decision to have kids instills a bit of discipline to get something stable in life.
That video is fantastic I watched it a week or so ago.
Your explanation also explains why computer performed music is so off. It still has that uncanny valley effect. So when Sony had a computer generate a "Beatles-esque pop song", they still had a human perform and produce it. But at the point there's so much creativity and human-added value on top of it that I don't think its fair to call it computer generated imho.
I think times were a bit different then. People are bracing for a major change to the automotive business between autonomous driving and electric cars.
There's a certain level of intuition that one can grasp with hardware as opposed to software. I suspect this might contribute to most robustness in design.
I think the bigger idea is to think outside the box. Apple has stacks of cash to experiment with. This is precisely the sort of thinking it should take into consideration, spending big on wild ideas to see what works.
Perhaps the _exact_ idea he mentions isn't solid, but the spirit of it is true.
Is there a guide to doing this? I'm curious to know, the pebble seems like a closed system so it would be hard to "just run micropython" on it vs. something more open.
Andrew Gelman once mentioned that Black Swan events are actually routinely _overpriced_ via the Longshot Bias. [1] He had talked about this in the context of the recent Leicester FC win and the odds on that team. [2]
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Favourite-longshot_bias
[2] http://andrewgelman.com/2016/06/02/30183/