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AnimalMuppet

28,653 karmajoined há 13 anos

Submissions

Ask HN: How long do running shoes last?

2 points·by AnimalMuppet·há 3 dias·2 comments

Ask HN: What Is the Big-O Order of a Jigsaw Puzzle?

1 points·by AnimalMuppet·há 3 meses·0 comments

Judge's Remarks on Anthropic vs. Pentagon

businessinsider.com
32 points·by AnimalMuppet·há 4 meses·4 comments

Ask HN: LLMs and Information Theory?

1 points·by AnimalMuppet·há 5 meses·0 comments

Ask HN: Acceleration of a Drop Falling Through Mist?

3 points·by AnimalMuppet·há 7 meses·0 comments

[untitled]

1 points·by AnimalMuppet·há 10 meses·0 comments

[untitled]

1 points·by AnimalMuppet·há 10 meses·0 comments

comments

AnimalMuppet
·há 3 horas·discuss
> They were literally arguing that the fact that these claims were written in the Bible was evidence of their veracity.

If you're referring to my post, that is not what I argued. I argued that a claim of supernatural events could not be dismissed as "cannot have happened", but must be evaluated on the quality of the evidence for that event.

I did not apply that to events in the Bible, but that is how claims of supernatural events in the Bible must be evaluated. Sure, they're eyewitness claims. All history from that era is eyewitness or derived from it, or archaeology or derived from it. The point is to not say "can't have happened", but rather to actually evaluate how good the evidence is for any claim.
AnimalMuppet
·há 6 horas·discuss
No, it's not a skill issue. It's a taste issue. You have some.

More seriously, you triggered a thought with your point 4. In prose, "editor" is a different skill from "author". It's a different career track.

AI is, essentially, taking coders from "author" to "editor". We don't feel nearly as comfortable there. It isn't what we do, or at least what we've been doing for our whole careers.
AnimalMuppet
·há 7 horas·discuss
I think that this arises from one of two presuppositions: Either 1) the physical universe is all that exists, or 2) science is the only way to learn truth. (These two presuppositions are not strictly independent of each other.)

These are presuppositions. They are assumptions that you make at the start of the game, that you build your interpretation of the world on. They are not empirically proven in any way. (For #2, show me the scientific experiment that proved it.)

But people have built these presuppositions so deeply into their thinking that they don't even realize that they're making them. Within the silo of those presuppositions, of course miracles don't ever happen!

But, if that's you (not Brindinooo, but you the reader), try to step outside that for a moment, just as a thought experiment. For this experiment, let us hypothesize that God actually exists - not just the word or the idea, but that someone is actually there. And let us hypothesize that he can actually do things, things that change physical reality. (You could think of it as breakpointing a running program with a debugger, and changing the value of a variable, and then resuming. The value actually changes, with no antecedent that the program can see.) And let us hypothesize that God actually does this - he actually changes something.

(Digression: A typical way of thinking about the scientific method is four steps: Systematic observation, search for regularity among the observations, forming a hypothesis to explain the regularity, and testing the hypothesis.)

For our thought experiment, let us suppose that science observes God doing something at step 1 (systematic observation). Now, what is science going to do with it? It's going to throw it out at step 2 (search for a regularity), because there is no regularity - unless God does the same miracle repeatedly.

But if it makes it past that step, the next problem comes at step 3 (forming a hypothesis). Under current thinking, God will never be the hypothesis. But in our thought experiment, God is actually the cause!

And even if God were to be the hypothesis, the next problem comes at step 4 (testing). How could you test the hypothesis? "Uh, God, could you do that again, and please sign it this time"? I don't see how you could do the experiment, even in principle.

So there is no direct scientific evidence that God exists, because science is not a tool that is capable of investigating that question.

But if God exists, and if he actually does something, even if we don't see it with science, we might see it with history. Somebody might have observed it and recorded it.

And when you read such a thing, how do you react? Do you say "That's impossible?" You're right; it is. But what is your next statement? "Therefore it didn't happen"? If that's your response, it indicates that you're in the silo of the material-universe-is-all-that-exists presupposition, and can't or won't think outside of it. Instead, I think you're reaction should be "That's impossible, but did it happen?" Because the impossible happening is exactly the signature that we would expect if God exists and actually did something.

So the fundamental question is not whether these events have a supernatural element or not. The fundamental question is whether they happened.
AnimalMuppet
·há 7 horas·discuss
You send 200 fighters and 60 get killed. In the same situation, if you send 20, what do you expect would happen? (I mean, you won't lose 60...)
AnimalMuppet
·há 9 horas·discuss
Well, probably Greek-speaking rather than Latin-speaking, right? And with that, would there also be some cultural differences?
AnimalMuppet
·há 11 horas·discuss
And, in fact, corporations are why AIs produce what they do - because they were trained on the output of corporations.
AnimalMuppet
·há 12 horas·discuss
Yeah... in at least some circumstances, "maintainable" means, like, 20 years. 8 months is not an adequate test.
AnimalMuppet
·há 12 horas·discuss
I like to be able to look out the window, especially when we hit rough air. Seeing the fixed external reference helps me, for whatever reason.
AnimalMuppet
·há 12 horas·discuss
Serious question: Which seats are the ones that are in range? Just in front of the wing, or just behind it?
AnimalMuppet
·há 12 horas·discuss
I worked with this guy. He'd write the code, and comment where needed, and then he would ask "How can I make this comment unnecessary?" The answer was usually to rename something, so that what he was doing was obvious.
AnimalMuppet
·ontem·discuss
Not with my money. No way.
AnimalMuppet
·ontem·discuss
But is it? Is there any realistic world where we need ASI for human survival?
AnimalMuppet
·ontem·discuss
Booleans? I think some guy named Boole might have prior art...

(Yeah, OK, he didn't have a programming language...)
AnimalMuppet
·ontem·discuss
Wait a minute. If the claim is that we're going to destroy privacy to protect children, asking first for proof that it will actually help children doesn't seem like an unreasonable request.

I can admit that your concern is perfectly valid, even share your concern, and still oppose your solution if your solution won't actually work. In fact, I would argue that I have a greater concern for the problem, because I care enough to worry about actually solving it, instead of just doing some ineffective measure that looks good.

That's at the level of reality, though. At the level of how this gets spun in media and politics, it doesn't often work that way. Performative action too often rules the day. Recognize it for what it is, though - performative. Asking if the solution actually works is a valid real-world response, even if it doesn't play politically.
AnimalMuppet
·anteontem·discuss
Side benefit: They get public humiliation for the problems in what they sent around. It could create some social pressure to not send out garbage.
AnimalMuppet
·anteontem·discuss
> If AI didn't exist, he would've had to do the research to generate the content and it would be 99% correct and I could just give a few notes of feedback in 5 minutes. But with the asymmetric AI workload, he can generate it in 5 minutes and I get to spend 3 hours correcting.

Maybe, depending on the boss. Some would have spent five minutes describing what they wanted, and someone else would have spent three hours creating the deck.
AnimalMuppet
·anteontem·discuss
If tokenmaxxing wins in your company, your company is going to lose. There's an external reality out there, outside your company, and your company has to produce things that actually work out there. Hallucinated AI slop does not help you do that. It leads you to unworkable plans, and if the plans produce, they produce unsellable products.

If you're an employee in that situation, push back if you can. If you can't, put your resume on the street. (But that may not work, these days. If it doesn't, all I can say is ride it out as best you can, and try to maintain both your job and your sanity. How? I don't know.)
AnimalMuppet
·anteontem·discuss
Hmm. When you put it that way, it sounds like LLMs and social media trigger the same "I have to see what's going on now" pattern (and therefore can wind up at the same kind of addiction, with the same problems).
AnimalMuppet
·anteontem·discuss
California has a tradition of being car-friendly. Probably not the first time someone did something like this, and they might have some idea of how to handle it by now.
AnimalMuppet
·anteontem·discuss
In the absence of any legally-valid proof to the contrary in 60 court cases, then yes, I do buy that explanation.

Those who want to claim election fraud had every chance to prove it. They failed spectacularly.