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gibolt

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gibolt
·há 3 meses·discuss
Having been through SOC2, it doesn't mean a company is rock solid, but it definitely makes the company button up loose ends, if taken seriously.
gibolt
·há 3 meses·discuss
Everyone has access to the same models. Even the best internal builds are only a month away from public access.

The ones a year from now from all companies will likely be better than the best today.
gibolt
·há 3 meses·discuss
Hyperloop is the only thing you listed that is accurate, although it was only a whitepaper + competition. It was open for others to pursue.

Tesla easily has the best vehicle software + OTA and has since the S in 2012. It still feels better than most new vehicles.

You can buy a Tesla (including Cybertruck) today that will do 95+% of drives with 0 intervention. It may not be 100% autonomous yet, but there isn't anything obvious limiting the last step.

The robots exist but are still being developed. Within 5 years, it is hard to imagine them not becoming super valuable within factory settings.
gibolt
·há 3 meses·discuss
If you think Starship is behind, look at the 'competition'.

Learnings per flight may not be maximal, but they are measured with enough risk so that bureaucrats will approve it (not restrict future launches) and other countries won't be impacted by a failure.
gibolt
·há 5 meses·discuss
It isn't monocular though. A Tesla has 2 front-facing cameras, narrow and wide-angle. Beyond that, it is only neural nets at this point, so depth estimation isn't directly used; it is likely part of the neural net, but only the useful distilled elements.
gibolt
·há 5 meses·discuss
Lidar fails worse than cameras in nearly all those conditions. There are plenty of videos of Tesla's vision-only approach seeing obstacles far before a human possibly could in all those conditions on real customer cars. Many are on the old hardware with far worse cameras
gibolt
·há 8 meses·discuss
This is the key. The known instances I've seen are very minor taps / fender benders. Not great, but not fatal accidents
gibolt
·há 8 meses·discuss
Cost to manufacture is likely around $25k
gibolt
·há 10 meses·discuss
The project looks super cool, but the idea of wearing a sharp screen that close to my eye on a bike could be one reason it didn't sell.
gibolt
·há 11 meses·discuss
Consider what would have happened if Elon wasn't there. Likely the same. The people wanting those things cut are still present.

I wish he hadn't gone along with them, but there likely had to be concessions before attempting to make progress. When it became clear cost savings and efficiency wasn't the actual goal in the White House, Elon left.
gibolt
·há 11 meses·discuss
It is, for the purpose of this test. Don't want it coming back down on land somewhere unexpected :)
gibolt
·há 11 meses·discuss
Not at odds at all. It doesn't matter how fast you can make them if each one costs $5-10 million. Much better to amortize that over 100+ flights and not waste the booster.

Once the tanker version is needed, a ship ship could go up 5+ times a day. The logistics of backfilling a pad with a new ship is much more involved
gibolt
·há 11 meses·discuss
This has happened many times so far. Control to reach a specific landing point is quite good (when things don't go boom first)
gibolt
·há 11 meses·discuss
Pretty sure the DOGE intent was good, but real efforts were mostly sidelined for the Trump pony show. Thus the 'fighting' words that followed when the BBB tax cut showed up.
gibolt
·há 5 anos·discuss
He completely transformed modern life and changed the human trajectory for everyone on the planet, multiple times.

So he was an ass to work with... That doesn't void anything else that was done, nor should it be a highlight. Worth mentioning, sure.

Visionaries are usually hard to deal with (perhaps because they are fighting against the grain). Most visionaries are wrong, but that diversity is what pushes us forward.
gibolt
·há 5 anos·discuss
'Most' and 'never' are strong words. I'd imagine many people thought that in the past about modern automation (and it's well documented).

Things will become automated. That is the natural human progression. We are creative, and their are 7+ billion minds with new giants to stand on the shoulder of every day.

AI, soft/compliant robotics, and globalization are strong unrelenting factors/motivators.
gibolt
·há 6 anos·discuss
Pigeons have a "refresh rate" of around 100 frames per second. It is believed that a bunch of smaller animals and even insects have similar or faster visual processing time, though I'm not aware of specific numbers.