Around 285,000 people in the United States have FSD beta in their cars right now. The FSD take rate (FSD sold with a new Tesla) is around 19-20%. YouTube is full of videos showing FSD in action.
The software isn't perfect, nor is it finished. Drivers are required to keep their hands on the wheel and be ready to take over at any moment, and there is a monitoring system to enforce it. You can pick it apart and poke at the issues all you want, but Tesla is obviously far ahead of all of their competitors if you look at it from the perspective of a computer person rather than a car guy. The competition is still using LiDAR and pre-programmed maps which can't deal with real-world conditions, which is where Tesla was back 6-7 years ago.
I hope we can talk about this in the future to see how my prediction did. I'm @realtaraharris on Twitter (different handle because I began transitioning in October 2022).
My thesis is that Tesla is progressing very well on FSD. Watching the progress happen is as easy as watching some videos on YouTube. It's really cool watching it progress, warts and all. Reminds me of how Google's language translation stuff progressed. They're crowdsourcing the work of teaching computers how to drive: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2q96i2vf8oA
I definitely think that competing companies will catch up, but that it will take them around 5-15 years to do it. (It took Microsoft about a decade to come up with a real competitor to the original Macintosh, for example.) That's an eternity in business, so Tesla will accrue huge gains financially over that period and this first-mover advantage will give them a huge lead with the Tesla Bot.
The question I asked was how the approach Mercedes is taking actually works. Does it use LiDAR? Does it rely on pre-programmed maps? I'm asking for technical details, not normative statements.
I am in a similar position. I'm not using the very latest C++ features, but maybe this will be of use to you anyway?
I decided to get started writing a native app for Haiku (http://haiku-os.org/), which you have to write in C++. So I loaded it up in a VM and started plugging away. I have always avoided CMake, but it's so popular these days that I decided to give in and get comfortable with it.
Haiku is really nice. It feels like the future that the big companies promised us in the 90s, but yanked out of our hands at the last minute.
Caveats:
Haiku doesn't have a great web browser, so it can be difficult to get your git setup going at first. However, there are efforts underway to port a much more recent version of Webkit over: https://github.com/haiku/haikuwebkit
Can you explain to me what principles the Mercedes system operates on? And why does it have to be geofenced? An advanced system can learn and operate anywhere.
Yes, true. They all died because larger and/or better-managed competitors beat them. Tesla's competitors are all several years behind in technology and manufacturing, and many of them have incredible debt burdens that will likely put them into bankruptcy as this downturn progresses.
Tesla with thrive, and only some of their competitors are going to make it through. I hope that's not too controversial (shrug).
What if Amazon is just an online bookstore? What if Apple is just a computer company? What if Google is just a search engine?
I didn't make it past the paywall, but I think this is a pretty silly argument. Yes, the stock might even drop another 50% between now and the bottom of the recession as margins fall to keep demand level. No, the company is going to be just fine. They'll be making huge software-style margins on FSD in 2024 and beyond. FSD has been the better part of a decade in the making, and it runs on every Tesla made since 2019. That's a lot of cars! Hundreds of thousands of people have it, and while it definitely isn't complete yet, they're a heck of a lot closer. My sources are my friends that use FSD in their own cars every day.
The really cool thing about FSD is that the same software is going to take Tesla into whole new markets with the Tesla Bot in a few years. This isn't worth anything to Wall Street right now, but it sure will be in 2027.
There is the unsolved problem of the governments themselves being co-opted. The situation in Europe is obviously changing, but it still is very much under the thumb of the United States. We have all been living in a fairy tale and we are all about to find out where the bottom line really is.
Diets do work, but you have to pick the right one for your situation. You need to understand why it works, and actually stick to it. If you have other sources of stress in your life that could knock you off your path, try to fix them! No aspect of your life is entirely unrelated to another.
I don't know if this will work for you, but here's my experience:
I started on the Atkins diet in 2009 and lost 45 lbs. I was taking my second semester of biochemistry at university at the time, and I discovered the work of Dr. Robert Lusting, and his now-famous "Sugar: The Bitter Truth" lecture at UCSF on YouTube. Then I brought back carbs but decided on principle to refuse to eat anything containing even trace amounts of fructose ever again. I read every label and vet every restaurant before I trust their food. I only eat once a day, and it is always dinner.
I have not had even a slice of birthday cake made with sugar! I was on a flight earlier this year, and they gave me a tonic water instead of a sparkling water. The taste of sugar was awful and I spit it out involuntarily.
I think my rule works because fructose is still by far the biggest problem with processed food. Fructose makes you hungrier than you should be because it messes with hormones that regulate appetite. Pot gives me the munchies while also robbing me of clarity, and alcohol is directly fattening, so I try my best to avoid those things as well.
I have never regained those 45 lbs after shedding them. I am now 42 years old.
Shouldn't they list them by revenue? That way, the brands most likely to be familiar to any given consumer would be easiest to spot. General Mills has many reasons to prefer that people don't form their own independent associations and opinions on their overall business, but these also boil down to growth, revenue and profit. The design of their website reflects this perfectly.
There are many ways to be dishonest and there is great value in studying them. Humanity's progress depends on learning from the evil that is done. This is essentially like building a muscle; strain is required.
General Mills strives to give you the impression that you'll be healthy if you eat their products. If they fail at maintaining this impression, you won't go Cuckoo for Cocoa Puffs. You won't crave those crazy Cinnamon Toast Crunch squares. You won't want Cookie Crisp cookies for breakfast. Oh those Golden Grahams — you won't want those either. Maybe you'll say that Trix is not for kids, or that Kix shouldn't be tested on kids. And when you get sad about all of it, you can pour your tears into a pint of Häagen-Dazs.
See for yourself:
https://www.generalmills.com/food-we-make/brands, and take special note of the dark pattern. When you load the page, they show only twenty of their fifty brands. You have to click a button to see most of the cash cows that wreck your body.
Is there any evidence that would indicate that this has ever occurred? The way I think about these things is in terms of where the electron density tends to be, what fits into what, how things get recycled inside our cells (Ubiquitin, Cytochrome P450, etc.), so on and so forth. It has been awhile since I looked, last I checked, we don't know how badly-folded prions spread the pattern to other prions. I'd love to know if there is any news on that.
Given the above, I would guess that there's no link at all between the two. I could just be very wrong or behind the times.
Secrecy is required to maintain empire. Where there is secrecy, there is always corruption.
Edit (in order to reply to David - I am somehow blocked from replying to him):
I'm not the government. I don't have the legal right to start a war, or to sentence a person to death. If you don't like what I have to say, you can just ignore me. But you can't do that with a government that keeps secrets. Official secrecy robs you of the knowledge required to participate in democracy.
The software isn't perfect, nor is it finished. Drivers are required to keep their hands on the wheel and be ready to take over at any moment, and there is a monitoring system to enforce it. You can pick it apart and poke at the issues all you want, but Tesla is obviously far ahead of all of their competitors if you look at it from the perspective of a computer person rather than a car guy. The competition is still using LiDAR and pre-programmed maps which can't deal with real-world conditions, which is where Tesla was back 6-7 years ago.
I hope we can talk about this in the future to see how my prediction did. I'm @realtaraharris on Twitter (different handle because I began transitioning in October 2022).