It won't be the progress in AI, but the ever increasing human tolerance to bugs and shitty software, hardware and products in general. This is what will enable AI to thrive.
It was more like a jump from a dumb phone to today's smartphone, but instead of a phone, imagine... A printer, and instead of apps, imagine enterprise features and services.
I worked at a company famous for making printers on a highly secretive and innovative project 8 years ago. You all know the fainting goats that get stun because their nervous system shuts down when flood with overexcitement? An innovative idea appears and suddenly, every single person wants a stake in it so much that no movement forward is possible. On top of that, no one knows what they are supposed to build anymore. Large and inflexible, these corporations are great at hiding the stagnation until the budget eventually runs out.