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aorist

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aorist
·5 месяцев назад·discuss
If the confidence interval width is 2 * 14.0%, how are you detecting a statistically significant difference between 58% and 50%?

The 95% CIs on both timeseries pretty much always cover the baseline number, which is not consistent with the result being statistically significant.
aorist
·6 месяцев назад·discuss
The process where resources accrue to those with more resources is called the Matthew Effect. It explains, amongst other things, why the degree distribution of social networks follows a power law.

There's a nice experimental test of this where showing the number of previous downloads a song has makes it more likely to be downloaded (but not to the extent that it entirely overrides the quality of the song. <https://www.princeton.edu/~mjs3/salganik_dodds_watts06_full....>
aorist
·8 месяцев назад·discuss
> Examples include converting boxplots into violins or vice versa, turning a line plot into a heatmap, plotting a density estimate instead of a histogram, performing a computation on ranked data values instead of raw data values, and so on.

Most of this is not about Python, it’s about matplotlib. If you want the admittedly very thoughtful design of ggplot in Python, use plotnine

> I would consider the R code to be slightly easier to read (notice how many quotes and brackets the Python code needs)

This isn’t about Python, it’s about the tidyverse. The reason you can use this simpler syntax in R is because it’s non-standard-evaluation allows packages to extend the syntax in a way Python does not expose: http://adv-r.had.co.nz/Computing-on-the-language.html
aorist
·9 месяцев назад·discuss
This specific analysis isn’t p-hacking because although they conduct multiple tests, they report all of them rather than just the statistically significant ones.

They should however account for multiple testing. The Bonferroni correction (which is conservative) would set the alpha level to 0.05/5=0.01, for which the 1 day after result is still (just) statistically significant.

Not to say there couldn’t be other problems.
aorist
·9 месяцев назад·discuss
> Thread is called “fils” in French, meaning “son”, considering channels are parents of threads in a sense.

Could be, but “fil” also literally means “thread” in the sewing sense.
aorist
·9 месяцев назад·discuss
You need assumptions exactly for the things which cannot be tested against reality. Otherwise why assume rather than measure?
aorist
·10 месяцев назад·discuss
all of

> designed a dozen sites I never published > I was never on time > I couldn't get up for class on time

And depending on why

> don't drive > I feel like an alien, and most everyone drives me insane. > most of them I cut off without a word, and those that reach out I resent

also sounds like how someone with ADHD could describe themselves, and the other issues could be downstream from that