bigstrat2003

позавчераdiscuss

There are plenty of shops where they are requiring people to use LLMs. Not "we require you to produce work at X rate" such that one can't hit the target without an LLM, but actually mandating use of LLMs based on the (unproven) assumption that it will boost productivity.

bigstrat2003

позавчераdiscuss

Opportunity cost is not a real cost. No money leaves your bank account. It is a decision making tool, and treating it as an actual financial cost is a misuse of the idea.

bigstrat2003

позавчераdiscuss

Yes, pretty much.

bigstrat2003

3 дня назадdiscuss

The problem with RHEL is that the free version exists at the sufferance of IBM, a company not well known for being motivated by keeping tech enthusiasts happy. I would use Debian, personally. Not as long of a support cycle as RHEL, but still quite stable and no possibility of corporate rug-pulls.

bigstrat2003

3 дня назадdiscuss

I would kill (figuratively, anyway) to have no AI whatsoever. No slop machine threatening to replace my job, or turn my job into babysitting its stupidity, and hardware would be reasonably priced? That would be awesome. AI has brought me nothing but downside.

bigstrat2003

3 дня назадdiscuss

> And to be fair, lots of grifters have done the fake it till you make it act on HN...

Indeed. That is how the entire AI industry exists.

bigstrat2003

3 дня назадdiscuss

I once rented a VW which beeped the seat belt warning at me from the weight of my phone in the passenger seat. It was absolutely insane. Seat belt nags are an utterly terrible feature.

bigstrat2003

3 дня назадdiscuss

Everyone dies eventually, so that means very little by itself. Did they die young? How much younger than their peers? Did they gain enough enjoyment from drinking and smoking to offset the fewer years of life (subjective, of course, but important to consider)?

Every intervention has a cost. Not all results will be worth the cost we pay for them. I think we are well past the point in Western society where we are giving up too much in order for too small a return, personally. With cars, but also just in general, people have lost the ability to do cost-benefit analysis and act as though every safety improvement is an unalloyed good. But they aren't, and I think that this thinking is making all of our lives significantly worse.

bigstrat2003

3 дня назадdiscuss

My wife's Volvo XC40 Recharge is the first Volvo we've ever had, and it's certainly the last I'll ever have (can't speak for her). The software is so flaky. The map screen on the dash doesn't load sometimes, the side mirrors don't tilt down (which they are set to do) when reversing half the time, and every so often the sound completely stops working in the car without a hard reboot of the info system. To make matters worse, it turns out that car operation signals (like turn signal clicks) play through the stereo, so when that happens you are driving without important audio cues because they were too damn cheap to put electronic clickers in the dash.

It's probably the worst car I've ever owned, worse even than cars I got for way cheaper than the $50-60k they wanted for this thing. Never again, fuck Volvo.

bigstrat2003

3 дня назадdiscuss

She's a corporate executive. Maybe she's not willing to crash the business and take a golden parachute, but if so she's one of a vanishingly small crowd. I would personally bet that she's willing to slash and burn just like other corpos are.

bigstrat2003

4 дня назадdiscuss

I would still rather have that than let some game run in ring 0 TBH.

bigstrat2003

4 дня назадdiscuss

> Has everyone really become so stupid now?

Not everyone. But unfortunately, yes, very many people have.

bigstrat2003

4 дня назадdiscuss

Even if you want to use an LLM (which you probably shouldn't, but it's your life), you best know how to program if you want to make anything good. They suck at programming, and need a human to guide them.

bigstrat2003

4 дня назадdiscuss

We most certainly are not at that point.

bigstrat2003

4 дня назадdiscuss

> Kojima is precisely what happens when you stop thinking of games as actual an interactive entertainment format and start thinking of it as a "cinematic experience" instead.

And for Western devs, we have Rockstar doing that. RDR2 is a wonderful movie, but a pretty poor game. Unfortunately, they forgot what medium they were working with.

bigstrat2003

4 дня назадdiscuss

No, they aren't. Not even at the one thing (programming) which they are supposed to be best at. People are always claiming "frontier models are so much better" but that is a false claim.

bigstrat2003

4 дня назадdiscuss

Anthropic's claims about their own products have almost zero value as evidence. They have lied to our faces about stuff before, and will again if it drives the hype cycle which delivers them money.

bigstrat2003

4 дня назадdiscuss

> This assumes that there aren't algorithmic breakthroughs which reduce training/inference costs by several OOMs.

Yes, if one must assume something it is generally fair to assume that things will continue as they are. Research breakthroughs do happen, but they are not something for which you can predict the timing.

bigstrat2003

4 дня назадdiscuss

It's a pejorative only because determinism is what makes computers useful in the first place. You get a consistent result, every single time, unlike if you have a human in the loop. Because LLMs are stochastic, they have removed the thing that makes computers useful to us, thus it's a pejorative.

bigstrat2003

5 дней назадdiscuss

Not really. I didn't use GPT-2, but I don't think there was much difference between we got what out of GPT-3.5 and 5.5. It's still an unreliable tool which will go off the rails the second you aren't watching it like a hawk. It still has zero intelligence or ability to reason as to why its output is flawed. Just throwing more compute hasn't gotten us anything worth using.

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