I’m not entirely unsympathetic to this line of thinking but “dessert with every meal” as an example of late capitalist degeneracy seems cartoonishly austere.
The PS Vita is an apt point of comparison - a beautiful piece of hardware that performed fantastically (and in my opinion much more impressive for its time than the steam deck) - that is considered to have been a complete failure.
Steve Jobs in a university lecture in 1991 (iirc) articulated the vision among him and his industry contemporaries of consumers using thin clients accessing data from the cloud, a reality that took two decades to really come to fruition and that had to wait for infrastructure to catch up - the point being that while some people didn’t see the value of the internet, people in the know were able to simply and quickly articulate beneficial use cases.
What problem is solved via a public tamper resistant ledger outside of the hypothetical? I routinely make purchases outside of a public tamper resistant ledger without issue.
I’d argue that what you’ve stated is just the mechanism by which decentralisation is achieved (you haven’t identified any additional benefits).
This is making a mountain out of a molehill. There's nothing to suggest any pre-conditions for deleting an account have to be removed, simply that it must be possible to "initiate deletion" from within the app.
The issue I've always had with Monte Carl simulation in this context is that it takes more knowledge, expertise, time, and care to accurately perform a Monte Carlo Simulation than to prepare an accurate estimate. It's like saying you can avoid building (yet another) barely functional go-kart by instead building a four-wheel drive. Monte Carlo Simulation sometimes cloaks that the assumptions behind the simulation largely determine the output and are just as (if not more) prone to error as the usual assumptions.
If the burden of accurately estimating an average duration for a blog post is too much for your planner, what are the odds they're going to accurately develop a probability distribution for the duration of a blog post?
In simple estimates there's no need to use a stochastic approach at all. For instance, the example in the post - if you know a blog post takes between 1-10 days (uniformly distributed) and that you need to get one out every ~6 days to get 60 out in a year, you already know the probability is ~60%. If you know there's a skew to the higher end and guess a distribution (as in the example), again you can directly work out that the odds of success are ~35%.
There is value when the estimate is not corrupted by other priorities (rare), when the expertise to accurately develop distributions for activities exists (also rare, particularly for work that isn't easy to sample and re-forecast), and when the plan is complex enough that it's hard to directly predict the impact of your statistical assumptions.