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xadhominemx

2,073 karmajoined 15 лет назад

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xadhominemx
·9 дней назад·discuss
I am a science and astronomy fan, but I am sorry, in this case progress is more important. If we regret our decision, the LEOs will fall out of the sky by themselves in a few years and it will be ok.
xadhominemx
·в прошлом месяце·discuss
This comment may have been true 6-9 months ago, but not today
xadhominemx
·в прошлом месяце·discuss
To me it is crazy that you are being downvoted. My experience in academia was that an incredible amount of time was devoted to data cleansing analysis, coding, etc., which were completely non-core to the actual underlying academic pursuit.
xadhominemx
·2 месяца назад·discuss
Orders of magnitude less compute for pre- and post-training than the the frontier labs.
xadhominemx
·2 месяца назад·discuss
Intel made bad engineering decisions. There was not under-investment in fabs or R&D.
xadhominemx
·2 месяца назад·discuss
This model is going to start miles behind the frontier and the gap will only grow.
xadhominemx
·2 месяца назад·discuss
That is not even close to correct.
xadhominemx
·2 месяца назад·discuss
It's very easy to find out when the new fabs come online. Try asking Claude or ChatGPT.
xadhominemx
·4 месяца назад·discuss
I spend much less than that at a chain theater in Manhattan.
xadhominemx
·5 месяцев назад·discuss
AI slop article
xadhominemx
·5 месяцев назад·discuss
Yes of course. Looking at the share prices of their suppliers— ASML, Lam Research, Applied Materials, etc.
xadhominemx
·5 месяцев назад·discuss
Yes of course their messaging to customers and the investment community is that they will be rational and measured in their investments. In reality, they are adding capacity as quickly as possible as margins are too high. However, capacity addition leading edge semiconductor manufacturing has a multi-year lead time.
xadhominemx
·5 месяцев назад·discuss
Everyone is completely sold out and adding capacity as quickly as possible.
xadhominemx
·5 месяцев назад·discuss
CXMT sells the vast majority of their bits at the prevailing market rate, just like everyone else. They are adding capacity as quickly as they can, with a 5-10 year planning horizon, just like everyone else. It’s really not that deep!
xadhominemx
·5 месяцев назад·discuss
No one sold their capacity to OpenAI. The vast majority of DRAM is transacted in what is essentially a quarterly auction.
xadhominemx
·6 месяцев назад·discuss
Nonsense. Do you think these landlords intentionally overpaid for the properties? They are sophisticated entities who like to pay at or below fair value.
xadhominemx
·7 месяцев назад·discuss
That 1/3rd is almost all small time flippers who renovate properties before resale.
xadhominemx
·7 месяцев назад·discuss
You are wrong. Memory production is being expanded in 2026 and will expand further in 2027 and 2028 as the memory suppliers catch up on fab shell capacity.
xadhominemx
·7 месяцев назад·discuss
AI consumes about 30% of DRAM wafers. PE owns about .5% of single family homes.
xadhominemx
·7 месяцев назад·discuss
China has promised to wage war and forcibly subjugate Taiwan, a democratic ally and critical trade partner. If China backed off Taiwan for a few decades, I think the US would drop export controls.