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billmalarky

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billmalarky
·5 ay önce·discuss
Yes -- definitely that's the value prop. But it's not binary all or nothing.

AI automation is about trust (honestly, same as human delegation).

You give it access to a little bit of data, just enough to do a basic useful thing or two, then you give it a bit of responsibility.

Then as you build confidence and trust, you give it a little more access, and allow it to take on a little more responsibility. Naturally, if it blows up in your face, you dial back access and responsibility quick.

As an analogy, folks drive their cars on the highway at 65-85+ MPH. Fatality rate goes up somewhat exponentially with speed and anything 60+ is considerably more deadly than ~30mph.

We're all so confident that a wheel won't randomly fall off because we've built so much trust with the quality of modern automobiles. But it does happen (I had a friend in high-school who's wheel popped off on a 45 mph road -- naturally he was going 50-55 IIRC).

In the early 1900s people would have thought you had a death wish to drive this fast. 25-30mph was normal then -- the automobiles at the time just weren't developed enough to be trusted at higher speeds.

My previous comment was about the fact that it is possible to build this sandboxing/bastion layer with live web accounts that allows for fine grained control over how much data you want to expose to the ai.
billmalarky
·5 ay önce·discuss
Bastion hosts.

You don't give it your "prod email", you give it a secondary email you created specifically for it.

You don't give it your "prod Paypal", you create a secondary paypal (perhaps a paypal account registered using the same email as the secondary email you gave it).

You don't give it your "prod bank checking account", you spin up a new checking with Discover.com (or any other online back that takes <5min to create a new checking account). With online banking it is fairly straightforward to set up fully-sandboxed financial accounts. You can, for example, set up one-way flows from your "prod checking account" to your "bastion checking account." Where prod can push/pull cash to the bastion checking, but the bastion cannot push/pull (or even see) the prod checking acct. The "permissions" logic that supports this is handled by the Nacha network (which governs how ACH transfers can flow). Banks cannot... ignore the permissions... they quickly (immediately) lose their ability to legally operate as a bank if they do...

Now then, I'm not trying to handwave away the serious challenges associated with this technology. There's also the threat of reputational risks etc since it is operating as your agent -- heck potentially even legal risk if things get into the realm of "oops this thing accidentally committed financial fraud."

I'm simply saying that the idea of least privileged permissions applies to online accounts as well as everything else.
billmalarky
·6 ay önce·discuss
Hi Kypro this is very interesting perspective. Can you reach out to me? I'd like to discuss what you're observing with you a bit in private as it relates heavily to a project I'm currently working on. My contact info is on my profile. Pls shoot me a connection request and just say you're kypro from HN :)

Or is there a good way for me to contact you? Your profile doesn't list anything and your handle doesn't seem to have much of an online footprint.

Lastly, I promise I'm not some weirdo, I'm a realperson™ -- just check my HN comment history. A lot of people in the AI community have met me in person and can confirm (swyx etc).

Look forward to chatting!
billmalarky
·6 yıl önce·discuss
You're forgetting about growth. Is UBI possible today? Probably not.

Quick googling (so take my numbers with a grain of salt but my point is to illustrate not be exact) says US economic growth the last 10 years has been ~45%. If that trend continues today's $3 trillion budget could be $4.5 trillion in 2030 - UBI starting to look much more possible. Another decade of 50% growth and the budget is $6.75 trillion in 2040 -- UBI seems absolutely possible. Sure there's population growth to consider as well, but you get my point where at some point the math works pretty well.
billmalarky
·10 yıl önce·discuss
The opportunity cost of a four hour commute is nuts though. That's half a fulltime work shift!
billmalarky
·11 yıl önce·discuss
Not all users are alike. 1 sr engineer is probably worth 1000 teenagers in regards to revenue potential.