Deportations are down from my understanding. Most people think deportations are up due to the “shock and awe” ice operations. The current administration, as with prior administrations, has no intentions of actually reducing the amount of cheap labor whether they are undocumented or not.
The main impact is from fewer workers entering the country clandestinely from Mexico due to the current administration’s enforcement of the border and the general impression of immigrants being treated poorly by administration. Illegal border crossings are now at a 50 year low.
> You have to actually do the hard part of interacting with people and understanding their needs and so on within the context of work.
How many human managers actually do that, though? How many websites performed satisfactorily before AI arrived? How well has technology matched what consumers really need or want? Maybe, as a society we have underperformed and nescient AI performs well enough (or even better) in comparison.
Most companies only need a subset of the features that these mega-platforms offer, as they operate within single industry, targeting specific customers many times in a single country with a simpler legal landscape.
I have no idea for sure, but odds are 80% of the revenue of these current saas providers is generated from 20% of the features they offer. Lightweight newcomers can just focus on that 20% and ignore the other 80%.
Iron and fiber are durable and last for decades. Data centers (where the current flows for inference) consist of hardware that becomes obsolete within 5 to 10 years.
The question is can improvements in the hardware both in cost and performance outpace the increased demands on the LLMs and their future derivatives.
Well said. This also aptly describes the emergence of “script kiddies“ in the early 2000’s (now comically referred to as “engineers“). Promotion of simply combining libraries that are not understood by amateurish developers into mostly poorly implemented solutions thrust upon the end users. Corporations loved the lower salaries of web developers and the efficiency of utilizing open source libraries, thereby devaluing the skilled developers whose original intent was to share their knowledge via these oss libraries. Web development was the most affected by this trend initially, and as we see now is mostly impacted by the emergence of LLM‘s.
I believe the president has the right to impose tariffs if it is for national security reasons. National security can be widely applied towards many products like food and major inputs like tech, metals, drugs, etc.
Therefore, the administration can simply re-classify any existing tariffs that are not justified for national security reasons and fall within this product mix.
Won’t flooding the market with large supply of bonds being sold at one time cause the price of the bonds to drop, resulting in losses for the sellers of the bonds?
Meanwhile, the bond holders that don’t sell, can wait it out until the bond pays out or the selling mania stops, and the price returns to equilibrium.
So they can educate more students? Many university classes are lecture only with 200+ students in the class and no direct interactions with profs. Those courses might was well be online.
Interesting. I like your body builder example, but I believe it more accurately describes the top seven fluff stocks. Valuation matters and just cause the stock is growing (according to estimates) doesn’t mean it’s worth buying. There are other factors like dividend yield and actually making real physical products that people really want, instead of a circular market dominated by a few players that essentially buy and sell products to each other using debt and rounds of vc capital that is constantly hyped up by media darlings.
Yes, countries are not monolithic entities. Such generalized statements don’t really mean much and don’t convey much. I doubt whether you know what self interest “China” is interested in as it would depend on context. I prefer statements like the leadership of China or the people of China or the military industrial complex of China or the Uighyrs of China. Even better it would be to provide accurate polls of the groups to determine what their self interest actually are. I think you would agree that all of these groups have different priorities and therefore different self interest.
Trump is an awful character, but equating him to the worst villains of history (at this point in time) is dishonest and hyperbolistic. Also, assuming you know who I voted for is equally silly.
You might want to check some reliable sources about how the war is going for Ukraine, because it seems like you think they are kicking some Russian bootie, which is simply not the case. Take the US (and risk of mutual worldwide nuclear contamination) out of the equation and Ukraine would be in even worse shape.
Not sure if its the number of parties that is the primary issue. Corporate lobbying, campaign finance, bribery, and cultural distractions (intended to posit groups against each other) are some areas that concern me more.