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ethbr1

15,259 karmajoined 3 yıl önce
->ethbr0

Email original username.co at gmail

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Miami, Tokyo, Zurich top UBS housing bubble risk

ubs.com
2 points·by ethbr1·4 ay önce·0 comments

Ask HN: How will AI-generated code be vetted?

3 points·by ethbr1·4 ay önce·1 comments

comments

ethbr1
·16 saat önce·discuss
In this case, it's probably more about preventing a foreign-compromised build system / developer from getting malicious code into lethal devices.
ethbr1
·evvelsi gün·discuss
White nationalism's (and any mono-nationalism's) goal is the prioritization and domination of ethnically white people over others.

It's not an "us and" philosophy: it's an "us over" one.
ethbr1
·3 gün önce·discuss
Cigarette companies who as part of the 1998 MSA (1) are banned from television and radio advertising, (2) are banned from outdoor and transit ads, and (3) have print media, retail displays, and sponsorships federally regulated.

Most of these regulations apply to vapes, if they're owned by a legacy MSA cigarette company. With more regulation teed up for the new vape companies (i.e. JUUL youth marketing lawsuits).

If we treat social media companies like tobacco companies, I'd be perfectly happy.
ethbr1
·3 gün önce·discuss
> Or it could have gone well and you could have lost your share in a divorce.

The Duplex: the perfect property for divorce settlements!
ethbr1
·3 gün önce·discuss
The Sackler family ultimately had to pay $6.5b of ~$10b they took out of the Purdue Pharma in its last decade of control.

It'd be more than fair that Zuckerberg has to pay 65% of his personal wealth gained by preying on adolescent insecurities.

And anyone else who was in a leadership role at Meta.

The deterrent is not allowing "Oops, I created a bad social outcome, but I'm keeping the profit I made from it" to be a viable way of getting rich.

And at least plant some doubt in folks doing evil that retribution might claw back their wealth in the future.

   1. Facebook knew its products were addictive.
   2. They knew this addiction had negative effects on its users.
   3. After knowing the above, they tried to make them more addictive to make more money.
It's not a complicated judgement call.
ethbr1
·3 gün önce·discuss
The #1 reason not to work in gaming: rampant unprofessional middle and upper management.

The amount of shit-show stories about a VP or designer with a god-complex straight up abusing their staff while still thinking they're the best? And then failing upwards because of who they know?

That doesn't happen nearly as pervasively in non-game industries.
ethbr1
·3 gün önce·discuss
Absolutely. I have an inkling that there's an AI version of Amdahl's law to the effect of: the speedup obtained by AI is proportional to the amount of AI output that isn't verified.

Folks push back and say "But there are tons of things where deterministic verification is easy, but design is hard."

But I'm suspicious that in real world cases verification is a lot harder and more time-consuming (because you can't verify 95% of something and call it a day).
ethbr1
·4 gün önce·discuss
In the case of Flipper, we're talking about fixed hardware (granted, eventually parts may need to be substituted) and firmware as the rotting target, so no OS level above that.

Which makes it a simpler problem.

I'd say SOTA AI coding systems are better than 1 and still improving. They often build better code than junior engineers. And with prompting and feedback harnesses, they're starting to grok architectural alignment.
ethbr1
·4 gün önce·discuss
Imho, this is the biggest concern for civilization-scale cost of AI being deployed all fields.

On the one hand: Amazing power! Look at how much more output everyone is generating!

On the other hand: Society maintaining guardrails that were engineered around human failure modes are completely inappropriate for bounding something that makes 10% random errors everywhere.

To re-use an example upthread... what if you had an LLM that could build an entire house? Foundation? Plumbing? Electrical? Roofing? Septic?

And then we let everyone guide that LLM to build their own house.

We'd drastically increase the housing supply, but every house would have 10% of its systems built incorrectly.

We could fix that by requiring grounding in building codes, automated reviews, etc. But none of that hard work updating guardrails is something AI accelerationists are interested in working on.

So you end up with a society where every septic system has a 10% chance of being misdesigned...
ethbr1
·4 gün önce·discuss
This is the industry in general though, and why you see so many historical AAA studios go bankrupt after one bad game.

The problem was that if you kept a studio small and lean, you were often at the mercy of predatory publishers who controlled the distribution channels (pre-network, physical media).

So most studios tried to vertically and horizontally integrate into conglomerates: own their own publishing + have a diversified enough pipeline of games that one flop wouldn't take down the entire works.

Unfortunately, that works at Activision (pre-Blizzard) and EA (00s) scale, but not Microsoft scale (where you essentially own a large chunk of all studios).

This was a reckoning long in coming, as MS XBOX leadership, after some initially brilliant ideas, got high on their own supply and forgot they couldn't endlessly acquire more studio with their parents' cash.

Tbh, they probably should have lured away one of Berkshire Hathaway's acquisition people and put them in a go / no-go decision role.

It's the acquisition price, product, and financials that make something a good deal or not, but XBOX spent the last 10 years valuing potential acquisitions on intangibles (synergy, strategy, if we don't they will, etc).
ethbr1
·4 gün önce·discuss
I remember that was my calculus in the PS2 era. At one point near launch, they weren't much more expensive than a dedicated DVD player.
ethbr1
·4 gün önce·discuss
Also, Chris Roberts should never be allowed to manage anything bigger than a shoebox.

Sometimes, adults minding the financial shop focuses creativity.
ethbr1
·5 gün önce·discuss
Oof, that burned-code scheme sounds like it has some painfully sharp UX edges if something goes awry in the new code resync portion.

But I'm guessing that's for serious security, where going to the guard shack is preferable to letting anyone unauthorized in?
ethbr1
·5 gün önce·discuss
Software rot is mostly about dependency size, ne?

I'm curious if the agentic-based code flows will start to optimize higher-order programming goals in future evolutions.

   1. Code works
   2. Code works in all situations
   3. Code uses defensive practices for unanticipated situations
   4. Code is maintainable
   5. Code is well architected
   6. Code minimizes impact of rot
Right now, it feels like AI coding is ~2.5, if left to its own devices without human guidance.
ethbr1
·5 gün önce·discuss
I heard a graybeard story about a manager who walked into a new ~90s sysadmin shop and was immediately horrified that everyone was calmly and slowly working.

At his old company, the sysadmins had been constantly putting out emergency fires!

... seeing how the "used to infinitely patched software" generation is unable to parse "done" is interesting.

Eventually, competence means nothing to do.
ethbr1
·5 gün önce·discuss
I read the post as implied they were talking about continuous realtime engagement.

Which TBF, answering every monkey with a typewriter on the internet is a huge time commitment from any team.
ethbr1
·5 gün önce·discuss
Everquest was 1999. Ultima Online was 1997 and had a $10/month subscription price.
ethbr1
·6 gün önce·discuss
Hence why corporate leadership is salivating over AI.
ethbr1
·6 gün önce·discuss
I wouldn't say victim, but I would say ideologically-aligned patsy.

Watching Elon seem flummoxed at politics as usual was entertaining.

Like, yeah, of course this administration is going to try to dump the blame at his feet and cut him out as soon as it's in their benefit to do so.

And the only reason they're still vaguely nice to him is because he owns a strategically important rocket+telecom company and Twitter.
ethbr1
·6 gün önce·discuss
Another way of looking at that is that the people who have been able to accumulate excessive gains from the capitalist system are forced to pay some of that back, to maintain the system that enriched them and those whose labor they profited from.

That seems like a screwy but ultimately more than fair deal for the top 10%.

Especially when the alternative is pitchforks and torches.