We have much to learn from canopy latrines. For example, unlike these noble creatures of the rain forest, my dog struggles to properly use a bidet.
Maybe if I put it on the roof it might all finally come together.
In all seriousness though, what a life for these researchers, climbing trees and checking shit.
You have to tell it both what and how. That way it's decidedly less shit. Still needs tons of passes just keeping things somewhat coherent, but it mostly works.
But these are the exact kinda mistakes that make me so pissed over the recent discourse that Serious Journalists shouldn't debase themselves with something as silly as basic LLM-performed fact checks. Those things hallucinate, dontchaknow!
A 3B model on a phone would've picked this up ffs.
Very scary stuff. Shame certain details basically discredit the entire thing. "Rohypnol and GHB fall within the benzodiazepine family" is so fundamentally incorrect I'm not sure what to say. And zolpidem is rather strictly a hypnotic, it will in no way entirely sedate you enough (at any dose) that you'd stay passed out if someone forces your eye open. Though you might not remember anything afterwards. This is the same reason z-drugs don't cause proper physical dependency like benzos do, action is much more narrowly targeted.
Anyways, I was sexually assaulted (well molested and woke up before anything more could occur) once and still sometimes basically violently fly out of bed when startled awake. Something about body integrity and how vulnerable one is while asleep gets a bit primal somehow. Can't believe adding drugging and actual rape and it being ones partner to it would do any good...
Even if they actually did work as well as the author wants to believe they could, there's still the matter of utility. Efficient pricing of real assets actually injects something, greases the gears of the market.
What is the utility of knowing the odds of something? Well that depends entirely on the something - it needs to be actionable, affect something that is not merely itself, whereby it can lessen friction. But this "actually valuable?" function is entirely decoupled from the prediction market trade volume and odds! You can make bank contributing to entirely useless odds, and equally make little on something where a clear prediction actually solves problems.
Those who stand to benefit from the output information (if ignoring insider bullshit) don't have to play. Hell if it's something important enough and they really have an edge, why would they play at all, if the information or prediction truly is valuable?
VCs don't exactly make plays on merely doubling their investment, right? Plus who's to say those sitting on valuable modeling powers actually have the capital to meaningfully participate? Even literally knowing the future wouldn't mean much if you're always only betting fifty bucks and spending the proceeds on heroin or tokens or whatever else is fashionable these days.
doesn't matter if it's just some agent using the system in the end, you do understand you still need an actual system for consistency etc, right?
Just that instead of cirrent "making something possible" it'll mainly be for restricting what's possible, hence forming a stable format.
That will never ever stop being a thing, even if the inputs and possibly outputs are entirely rock n roll it still requires coercion into something suitable for storage and processing.
Other idea:
Stay with SaaS, real devs, real core product, closed source, but each customer can (if they want and pay up) literally skip multi-tenant and being on the same codebase as everyone else, and get an interface to actually customize their own version to their liking.
Remove unneeded features, change UX, UI, add features. Some dev spends tiny amounts of time ensuring nothing gets too crazy, but apart from that it's basically an autonomous fork of the product, continuously tracking main.
I think the idea is you'd basically have it take a look at your current system, it would learn what features you're actually using at all, it'd check company emails for past and current pain points or stuff you wish was possible or just simpler, it'd Slack everyone in the company asking what their biggest wish and biggest pet peeves are currently, it'd do a small interview with Joe himself presenting the above to see if it's gotten the right idea, create a very detailed spec and then implement it.
Of course both models and tooling will need to be far more powerful for all this, but it doesn't exactly seem sci-fi to me.
Once system is built it could run detailed analysis on its usage and figure out what parts seem to be confusing or slow for users, and simply refine, deploy, keep analyzing, rinse and repeat.
The biggest upside is probably that workers could also simply request features, have Joe sign off on them (would get messy otherwise) and minutes later they actually roll out.
To me anyways most systems are a PITA because they do so much and your own organization only utilizes a small subset. Good systems actually let you turn off stuff you don't use so that users don't even know it's possible and don't have to drown in menu options, but that's still rare enough. And good luck getting dev focus on your specific requests regarding the parts of the system most important to your specific company, since there are a zillion other things and hundreds or thousands of other customers.
Something literally tailored to what you need will surely be the norm eventually. In five years or whatever I'm sure we'll be plenty on our way towards something like that.
But again just like LLM training in general this all requires having something existing to analyze and work off of. So yeah nobody will be going from paper to custom agent-built system.
Very much normal yes. This is why I've been (so far) still mainly sticking to having it as an all-knowing oracle telling me what I need to know, which it mostly does successfully.
When it works for pure generation it's beautiful, when it doesn't it's ruinous enough to make me take two steps back. I'll have another go at getting with all the pure agentic rage everyone's talking about soon enough.
Probably the best we can hope for at the moment is a reduction in the back-and-forth, increase in ability to one-shot stuff with a really good spec. The regular human work then becomes building that spec, in regular human (albeit AI-assisted) ways.
Why would external host matter? Your machine, hacked, not your fault. Some other machine under your domain, your fault, whether bought or hacked or freely given. Agency is attribution is what can bring intent which most crime rests on.
Look, everyone in the space is eking out just about all they can. A phone with a bigger battery and larger camera sensors will involve other tradeoffs. Ones Apple don’t want to make. They certainly could, though!
Stability is fine, iOS dev is pleasant which is important, AI stuff is meh (notification summaries are great though) and Siri is getting Gemini. And the thing about the EU isn’t remotely true. Opposite if anything, since EU brought us usb-c and alternative app stores.
And the lock-in thing isn’t to be discounted. Emotional and practical as well. Once your files are on iCloud, photos as well, universal clipboard built in, AirPods automatic transfers, instant MFA fill, some apps lack android versions, the devices just geling… switching would for me mean dropping my watch as well, and losing out on a bunch of Mac side features.
Androids can’t merely be “as good” or even slightly better, they would need to utterly kick iPhone's ass for years and years to even get me contemplating a switch.
By your interactions with them. Sure, after-the-fact caring won't result in any external effects, but a lot of caring is expressed in interaction which is indeed left with people. Who in turn have other cares and interactions influenced by those who cared about them. It's a chain.
Spring water I've encountered at the source has always been exceptionally clear. That's sort of the thing about slowly passing through layers and layers of rock - mud doesn't get through.
And around here anything labeled natural mineral water must by law come with nothing added or removed (bar co2). Of course that will differ by region.
In all seriousness though, what a life for these researchers, climbing trees and checking shit.