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joycian

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joycian
·3 yıl önce·discuss
What does "indirectly" include legally?
joycian
·3 yıl önce·discuss
Actually, I think it could be said that Pompey did it illegitimately before he did it legitimately (legitimately meaning: with the support of the sitting government in Rome), raising troops in support of Sulla's invasion force. Of course, legitimacy is a bit strange in the Sulla-Marius years.
joycian
·3 yıl önce·discuss
But can you distinguish those states reliably?
joycian
·3 yıl önce·discuss
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quipu
joycian
·3 yıl önce·discuss
But how do you know space isn't filled with a network of probes to detect just that? It seems to me you need to be confident you're first on the scene, or at least that the Precursors don't have such a huge lead on you that your diversions are useless.

Edit: Also it seems that by a strange argument combining 1) any civilization earlier than you is likely to be massively more technologically advanced and you cannot hide and 2) you exist, that any civilization could assume they are either first or first enough, which also seems to break the dark forest.
joycian
·3 yıl önce·discuss
I don't understand something about this: how would the civilization that destroys another one know that they don't expose themselves to some even more hidden civilization? Isn't the best option to sit still and hope the Precursors don't notice you?
joycian
·4 yıl önce·discuss
I like that you're asking for the mechanics. Many people just repeat their mantras.

If QE led to inflation quickly and in a simple way, we could have known that long ago. We didn't even have to do it ourselves: Japan did the experiment long before we did.

If you know, please explain it to me.
joycian
·4 yıl önce·discuss
Balance of payments.
joycian
·4 yıl önce·discuss
Not that uncharted, perhaps. You can look up the Amsterdam banking crisis of 1763.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amsterdam_banking_crisis_of_...
joycian
·5 yıl önce·discuss
Exactly, you give the government a way to replicate your insight, in return you get x years of monopoly. With the first part being non-existent (didn't inventors even have to supply physical prototypes etc.?) the patent system is easy to abuse.
joycian
·5 yıl önce·discuss
Are there no widely used flak/AoE weapons that heavily punish tight formations?
joycian
·5 yıl önce·discuss
If it's only that it would be pretty hard. Aggregated data would (probably?) be relatively safe.
joycian
·5 yıl önce·discuss
Well even if you know that nobody can be identified from your data alone, if everyone releases data, it will become easier and easier to cross-reference and still identify people.
joycian
·5 yıl önce·discuss
Yes, I think you're right, I should've written increased. Thanks for the correction :).
joycian
·5 yıl önce·discuss
There's some evidence that around 2B years ago microbes decreased the amount of oxygen in the atmosphere so much by overpopulation that 99% of the biosphere died.
joycian
·5 yıl önce·discuss
No, that was already patched before Erastothenes. Some simple branch predictions based on behavior patterns of the Bronze Age civilizations were enough to get the change through management.
joycian
·6 yıl önce·discuss
I looked this up and it seems very cool. Do you (or anybody else) know any more of these games or environments that can be controlled by code?
joycian
·6 yıl önce·discuss
What's with the bimodal distributions for German there?
joycian
·6 yıl önce·discuss
Could you recommend more like that?
joycian
·6 yıl önce·discuss
If only they could be read by robots! Their formulation is actually quite unwieldy and wasteful:

https://johncarlosbaez.wordpress.com/2020/04/13/bigness-part...