Just from the title I didn't even realize this would be a post about AI. I thought it was going to be about using Git in your IDE or other git UI tooling.
This piece was better than I anticipated. Much of it has been said before of course, but the Minsky framing was novel enough to me. I think the author is a bit late even. What is Trump's presidency if not a "withdrawal of legitimacy" of the social order in the US?
And importantly, they have the finances to support that R&D expenditure taking longer than expected to be recouped. The same situation with a small company would be very different than a company with solid income elsewhere.
I think most of the non-success outcomes involve an objectively bad experience, regardless of the price. Example of that would be a buggy system that feels more like a cut down PC than a console. From reviews, we see that this outcome doesn't seem to be the case.
The other potential failure outcomes involve selling the product at a loss, or tying up too much cash in it and having liquidity issues while stock moves. Valve's cash flow is likely excellent, we know they're not selling it at a loss and we know they aren't producing too many.
So overall, the possible outcomes all seem like different degrees of success.
This is standard in my country. Seemingly as a consequence, eSIMs require physically going to a store to be activated (on the telco side), which has always seemed insane to me.
The only time text-to-SCAD has ever worked for me was when Claude (the app, not even Claude Code) decided spontaneously to spin up an environment and check the renderings of its SCAD code. That session lead to something 90-95% of the way to the finished product, and in some ways even surpassing my expectations by looking up measurements for relevant products instead of using placeholders.
Modifying the prompt and then trying it again did not lead to that self-verification loop and the output was unusable garbage.
There's so much variety in hybrids that's hard to discuss as a single category.
I think the most important question is whether the system requires a regular automatic/manual transmission or forgoes one entirely. The Toyota planetary gear system forgoes one, as does the modern Honda and Nissan approaches. Not having a transmission in the traditional sense saves so much complexity that the overall system is net simpler imo even with the additional complexity from having a motor and engine.
Then there are systems that have a full automatic drivetrain and some extra clutches to couple to a motor-generator. And there's even systems with an electronically controlled manual transmission instead. Those systems are going to be incredibly complex and fragile.
Almost a decade ago, I wrote and published a small companion app for a game and set a hard rule for myself that it didn't need the internet permission (and thus stuff like a privacy policy). It still managed to be useful despite that, which made me pretty proud at the time.