Everybody who thinks this believes in some replay of the 19th-20th centuries - personally I do not buy it because I think computation is qualitatively different to mechanization.
Moravec's Paradox strongly implies that the middle class is automated before the working class is. I think anybody who doesn't understand that isn't worth listening to since it's the most concrete result in A.I for half a century.
It's not about the bottom - it's about the middle and underclasses - that is different to the past.
The biggest tech upgrades I've experienced recently are -
The Coway Washlet, no barbaric use of toilet paper.
The Japanese Yutanpo or hot water bottle, lasts 50% longer than my western traditional rubber sort.
There's not much in Silicon Valley that impresses me, it is possible I'm taking a lot of change for granted but much of the Valley seems stagnant - faux progress like those incredible mechanical toys the French artisans used to invent while some illiterates in England were rolling out the water wheel.
Habits are hard to break but I've also found it surprisingly easy to manipulate yourself by putting an annoying obstacle in the way. For getting work on time I can't snooze-beat the combination of a wake up light and a distantly located mobile alarm.
On internet use restriction the best solution so far has been to use a simple electronic plug timer connected to a laptop without a battery. Zap - no internet for you.
There ought to be a solution that installs itself into the computer's firmware though. Most of us on HN install new operating systems at a much higher rate than the typical user so having a persistent solution would be huge.
Even elite University education in STEM is a terrible investment. All the people boostering it are recipients of multiple selection filters or from different age cohorts and really have no idea what the fuck they are talking about.
When you do the math - it's terrible compared to almost any other alternative - even minimum wage jobs.
This doesn't apply if you have a wealthy family and can be assured of a job with dad's company or other connections - but for a blue collar kid university is not a good route to fortune in the UK.
The level of effort required and the wages are simply not commensurate and everybody who thinks so is delusional because they're not comparing and contrasting the effort with other options. The stats are all skewed by confounding factors like half your class will be going to work for Goldman Sachs.
Modern universities are a way of manufacturing poor people with stunted ambitions, not upward social mobility.
Your supporting link says it has no substance - it's a simple meme that is wrong.
This subject annoys me because I am convinced that not only does the Horseshoe Theory have no predictive power - but also that it denies something which really is true - that political violence can come out of the Center aka from Liberalism.
This is a huge blindspot in modern political culture. Conflict coming out of the Center would be a true Black Swan event.
It is true and no argument is required - just observation of history.
If you examine the history of political philosophy of Liberalism you shall see immediately that Republicans and Democrats are both part of the Liberal Party.
I know some people come to this conclusion by viewing it as a conspiracy but it's really not.
That modern day Democrats are called Liberals causes confusion because from the historical context they are just a subset of Liberals. The older definition includes most Conservatives and Libertarians.
Political philosophy is a family tree. If you go back into the history you find that apparent enemies are more accurately described as competitors.
This is demonstrated in the present each time there is an external threat too.
Communism and Monarchy are both Western political philosophies that reject Liberalism. If you say far right or far left and this group still supports the goals of political Liberalism then you've made a category error.
I use the keep warm feature on my instant pot as an alternative to a microwave. I'm not paranoid about microwaves - I just don't like constantly cleaning them.
People are definitely reluctant to retract that bit of gospel and it's not a good look. IIRC Flynn himself was circumspect and the memory is uncertain but I thought he pointed to the recent reversal too.
This sort of collective amnesia happens often if you look out for it and this makes me suspicious of other conventional wisdom I see peddled here and on Reddit. Is it probably true because a lot of people think so or is it true because it chimed with a story. The mind warping powers of politics are well known but maybe the conceit every person shares is that we feel there ought to be a nice coherent story like a box to put things into - meanwhile Reality/Nature/God gives zero fucks about all that.
Those don't seem to fit the application I'm thinking of but thanks for trying.
I sometimes carry a notepad and pen, but I thought something might exist - electronic - but with the speed and flexibility of an analog pad and pen - then I could incorporate ideas with orgmode or other organization software.
Literally I wanted to be making notes a moment after thinking a thought - no lag of any sort.