Maddeningly accurate. Taarof can demonstrate a mastery of social intelligence, like the Japanese tea ceremony writ large in society, and is a good goalpost for AGI.
Not one month ago, as an admission of my own clumsy slight, I had remarked to a senior of higher status, that Chatgpt could just grasp Taarof.
as a longtime, proud, and noble pirate; attempts at moral justification or condemnation are simply gratuitous and i'm certain many like me feel the same
but if it is not that would be extremely impressive! determinism/freewill reduces to shazam!?
whats the training data to predict new song titles? heh
check out this reply from claude2:
>predict the next 3 new song titles from artist Taylor Swift
1. Last Dance with You - A reflective ballad about finding closure after a breakup.
2. Never Getting Back Together - A pop tune emphasizing that the same mistakes won't be made twice in a relationship.
3. 22 Was My Prime - A lighthearted look back on her early 20s as carefree years that can't be replicated.
I think we will find more examples countering our modern idea of discrete organisms separated across generations.
Consider again the glider translated across space time. Is it the same glider after 1,2,10 generations in time?
I always found it curious the ancient archons had rulerships which kept continuity in nominative identity across individuals for several generations. The social practice continues with the first, the second, III, IV etc.
In summary historical population projections have been pretty accurate but not in the way you expect.
*One thought is that because current date may become a historical inflection point similar to the first half of the 20th century, current date demographic statistics may be too important to put much stock in. Sobering.
I'm very interested to see how this picture will look 20-30 years out.
Wealth is concentrated in pockets and the average person gets by. China wealth Gini index is moderating somewhat around Japan tier. US Gini is very high and closer to the world average.
>What's really screwy is the government has replaced most of the English translation on street signs from a literal translation to phonetic translation of the mandarin sound.
I don't think this is a fair take for a couple of reasons.
Mandarin is unlike other languages in that it's written form is famously ideographic. Phonetic translation is all that is done in any pair {L, M}. I assure you there is no such thing as a literal translation in any language.
Secondly, english as a global lingua franca is not a given and we in the anglosphere ought to be gracious in it's modern historical role, lest it decline (this is an exact mirror of dollar reserve privilege). Your statement reads as "be more accommodating for me". But through the prism of good manners it smacks of liberal entitlement.
>There is 0 reason to learn
hoo boy, i don't get paid enough for this... carry on
Don't know where you're from or your experience but you maybe want to update your priors on the meaning term first world, which peaked in usage roughly 1948...
The mean and median living some places might surprise you. For example visit HongKong, Singapore, Taipei, Tokyo, or a mainland city this millenium. Or dont'!
First world, it mostly conjures automobile culture and car infrastructure which is nothing special these days but check the world's largest car makers... you would guess Germany Japan or even the USA recently no?
For sure political innovation is a terribly slow process. I don't believe leveraging LLMs will have a direct observable effect on that until civilization <> AI digests for little while longer. Yes we could certainly discuss AI governance (governance by AI)
There are two other areas you would seem to point at. Firstly other technological innovation will have momentous effects, I will not name the buzzwords but you easily know from what by excluding AI/LLM. The second and far more interesting is what I will call political innovation which is orthogonal to technological development, which is totally driven by changes in consciousness. I think that often looks like a stepfunction, because I hardly see the needle moving there outside the generation-to-generation cultural noise.
local and provicial governments really dont matter. they do their best to support and bid projects for national champions and siting direct foreign investments where competitive. the areas which outperform (do least bad) have their executive talent siphoned to the central government. as FDI has dried up in the global slowdown restructuring and local reforms are due. one idea is to heavily lean on consumption which is palatable to some. i dont see that the chinese (or the japanese) feel that is a tenable path however
Not one month ago, as an admission of my own clumsy slight, I had remarked to a senior of higher status, that Chatgpt could just grasp Taarof.