Bombing them won’t open the strait of Hormuz which is what trump needs. It’s a classic asymmetrical warfare situation. It takes minimal command infrastructure to keep it closed. (Iran has already been decapitated)
He very much wants to open it and they can demand anything they want.
Is there a therefore? If we know it’s locked in we can start discussing the knock on effects that we know will happen as a consequence. It’s quite rare that climate science gets opportunities for solid predictions. I would guess that England and Northern Europe are in for colder winters starting in a decade but I’m not up to date on the predicted effects of collapse of the Atlantic currents.
Humans are notoriously bad at assessing their own understanding. There’s even a fancy name for it “the illusion of explanatory depth” is a mental failure humans experience where they think they understand something till they try to explain it, then they’re confused when confronted by the fact that their explanation makes no sense. The example often given is of a toilet.
I submitted code yesterday that I could explain but not replicate.
I could easily submit code I could replicate but not debug. (Frankly history shows that debugging code is often harder than writing it)
I could write tests for code I could neither replicate nor debug. I would argue that the testing part is of higher value than understanding, replicating or debugging. Because in a sense you’re proving that it does all the things the tests say it does.
I would argue that “Understand” is a word so broad as to be useless in this context. Perhaps you should not submit code (or in fact any work product) that has not been verified.
Just yesterday China announced it will stop providing their most powerful models. They have reached performance and cost parity. Now they proceed to phase 2. One thing about the Chinese, they play economic game theory like clockwork.