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4 年前discuss

the rule of thumb i've always seen is "consecutive quarters of negative economic growth" - in other words, negative change in GNP (have seen GDP used as well) after accounting for inflation.

since these indicators are always published after a time period has occurred and been tabulated, its possible we have crossed the threshold and are in a recession as we speak.

Q1 2022 is estimated at -1.5% right now, the final number will be released on 6/29. Meaning Q2 final data will be released sometime around the end of September, to make it an "official" recession (if Q2 ends up being negative).

4 年前discuss

where does "global treasure" begin and "sovereign autonomy" end? who decides?

4 年前discuss

im adding marginal rates which is somewhat lazy. assuming 1,080,000 as a single earner (married changes the calculation of course):

  - 37% federal
  - 9.65% state
  - 3.876% city tax
  - 3% SS and medicare
  - ?? disability, unemployment, etc.
  - some additional % to cover single payer

so thats somewhere in the mid 50% range adding up. again, effective rates won't be that exact number except for ultra high earners. this also doesn't include property tax or sales tax (8.875%).

crocodile tears for million dollar earners and their tax bills of course, my point being that chasing away a small amount of residents can have an outsized effect on state revenue. (0.3% of returns account for 27% of revenue federally)

4 年前discuss

it will be interesting to watch NY (and/or CA) put something like this in place and observe from afar. i strongly feel that states should be much more aggressive running policy experiments if their constituents desire them, and at the national level we all get some benefit of seeing how things turn out in real time.

all that said, assuming there is some tangible tax increase, NYC high earners are going to be knocking on the door of 60% combined rates (city, state, federal). tax avoidance and/or relocation services are going to be booming if so.

4 年前discuss

> has sued a kid for making a twitter bot

the @elonjet account?

4 年前discuss

tmobile is terrible and I loathe them but are the alternatives better?

is twilio viable for personal cell use?

4 年前discuss

a few weeks ago UI released an update to their protect surveillance line which subsequently prevented certain cameras from recording. an update which fixed this "bug" was released 3 days ago.

things like this contribute more to the mood you reference than the reporting from Krebs a year ago, IMO.

4 年前discuss

question - does ubiquiti open themselves up to discovery and a lot of private info becoming public by filing this?

4 年前discuss

> ...venture capital idealises subscription pricing right now...

Pera owns ~91% of the company, it all comes from the top.

4 年前discuss

vimeo had their IPO last year (VMEO)

4 年前discuss

> The weight and speed have external impacts on road durability as well as air quality. Compare the amount of carbon dioxide released by a truck of that size and most other residential polluting machines and it doesn't come close.

Correlation, causation regarding weight/size of vehicle and external impact. Its actually quite simple to objectively determine that sort of impact on a vehicle by vehicle basis, all of this is known. No reason to anchor it to the weight of a vehicle.

Again, the tax aspect ("fraud") is NOT being pushed by a potential purchaser. the laws FORCE it to be a vehicle that is tax exempt (according to the article).

4 年前discuss

there are a myriad of wasteful, polluting machines in the world today. who is the arbiter of who is and who is not allowed to use such a machine?

also why blame anyone who purchases such a vehicle for nonsensical tax laws? it is not clearly a commercial vehicle yet the laws are such that it is considered so simply by weighing a certain amount. that is what creates the tax loophole, not the speed limiter. the limiter is simply a consequence of an arbitrary classification.

4 年前discuss

Ah gotcha. And yes you’re correct on that, Alfa’s re-entry into the US market has been such a mess, if I had to guess their only buyers are enthusiasts who know the brand and appreciate the tech or people who want something that isn’t BMW/Audi/Merc but still has some visual appeal. I hope they survive as one of the few remaining enthusiast brands, would be a shame for them to follow in FIATs footsteps.

4 年前discuss

The Giulietta isn’t sold in the US (your other comment indicates region).

4 年前discuss

worse yet - that individual has incurred healthcare costs at a greater rate than their "peer group" and the nudges turn away from mental health assistance to subtle suicide encouragement for the "common good" (lowering aggregate healthcare costs).

4 年前discuss

IMO the issue is the paywall is essentially "cloaking" by google webmaster standards. different content is displayed to the crawler (actual text of the article which gets indexed) vs the user (a paywall).

the content provider might not ask for the crawler but they are certainly catering to it - and benefitting from it.

4 年前discuss

dozens of congresspeople had to prepare their positions around reporting periods. this must have been the most opportune time :)

4 年前discuss

gated results are clearly cloaking right? displaying different content for googlebot vs the search user?

https://developers.google.com/search/docs/advanced/guideline...

4 年前discuss

democratizing stalking since 2021™

5 年前discuss

there is an experimental[0] treatment for MS, the "immune system reboot". i am a layperson but my understanding is stem cells are taken from the patient, the immune system is "destroyed" through immunosuppressants and the stem cells are then used to rebuild a "naive" immune system in the patient.

based on the info in the OP, i wonder if the MS result from EBV is random; what is the probability of a rebooted immune system to follow the same path after exposure?

[0] - https://www.nih.gov/news-events/nih-research-matters/immune-...