Ask HN: AI WTF
I need someone to explain me how is this supposed to work. I recently watched Sam Altman saying that model inference will get 10x cheaper in a year. I listened to Dario today and he says Anthropic revenue will increase 10x this year. If both of these are true, that means the usage will go up 100x. Considering fierce competition from China, the fact that smarter models will require less tokens to solve the same problems, and the fact that everyone that I know already tries to swarm their programming problems wasting gazillion of tokens I don't really see how all of this can be true at the same time.
2 comments
Most crap out of a CEOs mouth is just true enough to throw out publicly to spike investor confidence while being based on such a house-of-cards set of unstable variables that it will give the person an out when (not if) it turns out not to be false.
mostly useless for those trying to predict the future, unless you're just trying to predict where money is getting shoveled next.
mostly useless for those trying to predict the future, unless you're just trying to predict where money is getting shoveled next.
Simple: Sam Altman has a looooong history of lying.