Fascinating thought piece. While I agree with the thrust of the piece: 'that llms can't really replace engineers', unfortunately the way the industry works is that the excuse of AI, however grounded in reality has been repurposed as a cudgel against actual software industry workers. Sure eventually everyone might figure out that AI can't really write code by itself - and software quality will degrade..
But unfortunately we've long been on the path of enshitification and I fear the trend will only continue.
If google's war against its own engineers has resulted in shittier software - and things start break twice a year instead of once - would anyone really blink twice?