howderek · HackerTrans

قبل 3 سنواتdiscuss

The horse population has decreased by half or so since the early 1900s. And horses have stayed pretty valuable, too. Most of them just don't have to work as hard anymore. The horses used for sport never went away, only the horses used for labor or transport. So if your horse analogy is accurate, then maybe half of software engineers lose their jobs and the industry stops growing. Those that keep their jobs keep their salary and have to either be very fast or very good at jumping over artificial obstacles. Seems accurate. I should probably stop beating a dead horse.

howderek

قبل 3 سنواتdiscuss

As a former doomer, this post does a great job of building a flimsy strawman of doomer thinking and then tearing it down. It does not respond to any of the real concerns brought up on doomer subreddits such as r/collapse.

The fundamental stance of doomers as far as I have understood it is fundamentally Malthusianism - infinite growth cannot occur on a finite planet. The majority of people alive today are only able to eat because of synthetic fertilizers. Phosphates in particular are mined and are being lost to the ocean via soil erosion due to industrial farming practices. Freshwater is being depleted unsustainably all over the world. The EROI of oil is consistently declining. This post totally ignores the Hubbert curves that are fundamental to much of doomer thinking, and doomers only have to be right about one of them for there to be a massive population and living standards collapse.

This post also largely ignores that doomers acknowledge the mainstream climate models but believe they don't properly account for feedback loops such as the clatharate gun hypothesis. It is especially egregious that the IPCC numbers are cited, when so much of doomer discourse surrounds criticisms of the IPCC and its consensus-based methodology resulting in excessively cautious claims.

I have stopped being convinced we're doomed, but that's not because I think doomers are wrong, I just think we really might pull off the technological miracles required to kick the can down the road far enough not to worry about it. Better to look forward to space mining and virtually limitless energy than spend my days feeling angry we didn't do something sooner.

If you read Overshoot by William Catton (one of the most important doomer books), you know that there's nothing we really could have done. We will always grow into the size of container we have. So the best we can hope for is a galaxy sized container, and that's what I choose to do.

howderek

قبل 4 سنواتdiscuss

Cleveland,List of sovereign states,Australia,Flora of Australia,Eucalyptus,Eucalyptus camaldulensis,Australian Plant Census,Australian Plant Name Index

It is harder than it needs to be because the Taxon Identifiers at the bottom of the page of plant species is missing from the wikispeedruns rendering of the page. That box seems to pretty consistently link to APNI.

howderek

قبل 5 سنواتdiscuss

Why would a ledger be necessary? Couldn't a root certificate store be used, such as today with HTTPS? Then, the bar doesn't even need to connect their verification system to the internet, other than for the occasional patch.

howderek

قبل 5 سنواتdiscuss

Here's the article I saw the $4/100g: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-23/meat-grow...

howderek

قبل 5 سنواتdiscuss

Future Meat Technology can already produce cultured meat at roughly the prices quoted in the article ($4/100g, which would be $18.14/lb). It seems unrealistic that the industry would have already reached its lowest price point considering large scale facilities are just now being made.

howderek

قبل 5 سنواتdiscuss

They know it is infinite. They want to understand the cardinality. Any two sets (including infinite sets) A, B have the same cardinality if there exists a bijection from A|->B

howderek

قبل 5 سنواتdiscuss

Why shouldn't a chair be provided by the employer? Chairs are ergonomically important and leaving it up to employees could lead to work injuries if they choose cheap chairs.

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