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noplace1ikegone

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Show HN: Web client analyzing prediction market outcomes

o-u.ai
2 points·by noplace1ikegone·قبل شهرين·2 comments

Show HN: Prediction market analysis app layering LLMs with data APIs

apps.apple.com
2 points·by noplace1ikegone·قبل 3 أشهر·5 comments

comments

noplace1ikegone
·قبل شهرين·discuss
If you loaded the analysis pipeline on a bot and stuck to certain contracts it might be half decent at market making low volume contracts. The quant specialists reportedly ignore them. I have been working on an idea to buy a large basket of contracts since the advantage of having quick access to all the analyses is breadth, and if your model beats the market consistently you can participate low risk/low impact.
noplace1ikegone
·قبل 3 أشهر·discuss
Did the review turn out ok? I was fortunate and didn’t end up running into any review issues, but I had advance warning. I planned the in-app copy around avoiding gambling terminology or making specific purchase recommendations.
noplace1ikegone
·قبل 3 أشهر·discuss
Thanks man! I appreciate the positive feedback.
noplace1ikegone
·قبل 3 أشهر·discuss
Good read, thanks. We’re very poor at collective decision making. I don’t know if it’s structural, cultural, or both.
noplace1ikegone
·قبل 3 أشهر·discuss
The plot of Anaconda 2025, but Friendster.
noplace1ikegone
·قبل 3 أشهر·discuss
Worldcoin was really a headscratcher. I will admit I did not fully follow how this would create universal basic income. The biometric verification seemed equivalent to trying to prevent unemployment fraud before unemployment pay exists.
noplace1ikegone
·قبل 3 أشهر·discuss
It’s also without the at least superficially well meaning goal of universal basic income. I guess it makes sense this was where it was headed.
noplace1ikegone
·قبل 3 أشهر·discuss
You can’t have a great product without proper security.
noplace1ikegone
·قبل 3 أشهر·discuss
Google responded to your post so that’s good news. We all know the nature of APIs, but a secure transaction system is non-negotiable from Google and its peers for LLM API use. Right now LLM APIs are like unencrypted credit card numbers floating around.