So what would be your equivalent position in the 1940s about the nuclear solution? "Don't worry about it, humanity has always prevented slow moving disasters."?
Because the question is not about whether one should develop AI or not, but if we should be worried and work actively to minimize risk, as has been done on the nuclear case...
So suppose you simulate 100 Earths from today t=0? What are the best strategies to prevent this problem? Are we doing all we can? What proportion of the 100 Earths have a good outcome?
In other words, what are the risks and benefits of adopting a "worried" versus a "don't worry about it" position? For example, what's the worst that could happen if we all worry today for nothing, and in 50 years we all live happily in the cloud?
What if we don't worry now and it turns out that AI somehow wiped half the population (or all of it)?
If there's a possible huge meteor (say 30% chance) of hitting the Earth in about 50 years, would you be "worried"?
So what would be your equivalent position in the 1940s about the nuclear solution? "Don't worry about it, humanity has always prevented slow moving disasters."?
Because the question is not about whether one should develop AI or not, but if we should be worried and work actively to minimize risk, as has been done on the nuclear case...
So suppose you simulate 100 Earths from today t=0? What are the best strategies to prevent this problem? Are we doing all we can? What proportion of the 100 Earths have a good outcome?
In other words, what are the risks and benefits of adopting a "worried" versus a "don't worry about it" position? For example, what's the worst that could happen if we all worry today for nothing, and in 50 years we all live happily in the cloud?
What if we don't worry now and it turns out that AI somehow wiped half the population (or all of it)?
If there's a possible huge meteor (say 30% chance) of hitting the Earth in about 50 years, would you be "worried"?
So what would be your equivalent position in the 1940s about the nuclear solution? "Don't worry about it, humanity has always prevented slow moving disasters."?
Because the question is not about whether one should develop AI or not (this is going to happen in either case), but if we should be worried and work actively to minimize risk, as has been done on the nuclear case...
So suppose you simulate 100 Earths from today t=0? What are the best strategies to prevent this problem? Are we doing all we can? What proportion of the 100 Earths have a good outcome?
In other words, what are the risks and benefits of adopting a "worried" versus a "don't worry about it" position? For example, what's the worst that could happen if we all worry today for nothing, and in 50 years we all live happily in the cloud?
What if we don't worry now and it turns out that AI somehow wiped half the population (or all of it)?
If there's a possible huge meteor (say 30% chance) of hitting the Earth in about 50 years, would you be "worried"?
So what would be your equivalent position in the 1940s about the nuclear solution? "Don't worry about it, humanity has always prevented slow moving disasters."?
Because the question is not about whether one should develop AI or not, but if we should be worried and work actively to minimize risk, as has been done on the nuclear case...
So suppose you simulate 100 Earths from today t=0? What are the best strategies to prevent this problem? Are we doing all we can? What proportion of the 100 Earths have a good outcome?
In other words, what are the risks and benefits of adopting a "worried" versus a "don't worry about it" position? For example, what's the worst that could happen if we all worry today for nothing, and in 50 years we all live happily in the cloud?
What if we don't worry now and it turns out that AI somehow wiped half the population (or all of it)?
If there's a possible huge meteor (say 30% chance) of hitting the Earth in about 50 years, would you be "worried"?
So suppose you simulate 100 Earths from today t=0? What are the best strategies to prevent this problem? Are we doing all we can? What proportion of the 100 Earths have a good outcome?
In other words, what are the risks and benefits of adopting a "worried" versus a "don't worry about it" position? For example, what's the worst that could happen if we all worry today for nothing, and in 50 years we all live happily in the cloud? What if we don't worry now and it turns out that AI somehow wiped half the population (or all of it)?
If there's a possible huge meteor (say 30% chance) of hitting the Earth in about 50 years, would you be "worried"?