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sklearncowboy

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sklearncowboy
·قبل 5 سنوات·discuss
I think in a true efficient market there would be no arbitrage between renting and buying. There would just be oscillations around an equilibrium.

I would suspect permits/zoning and whatnot that cause inefficiency to the markets cause the oscillations to be wider than they should be and harder to get back to equilibrium.
sklearncowboy
·قبل 5 سنوات·discuss
I think this is a real problem in the West.

Consider how much brain power and resources have been spent on quant finance and crypto now in the past 20 years.

Imagine if all those resources had been spent on something more productive.
sklearncowboy
·قبل 5 سنوات·discuss
I am still remote but I think you are spot on.

I hate the office but I will be back in as many days as possible as soon as possible. I am not going to be part of an out-group to an in-group that contains the people who decide promotions.

I have no doubt the people who come back to the office the quickest and the most often will get better raises over the next few years on average vs THOSE remote people.

The dynamics here are pretty much face up.
sklearncowboy
·قبل 5 سنوات·discuss
Instead of "AI Warfare" what if we come back to reality and say machine learning driven warfare?

It is a lot of nothing. You have to conflate science fiction with reality because reality is a non-story here.

I worry we have become dangerously complacent or deluded that nuclear war is impossible. I mean if you read anything about the early 60s you almost have to conclude we just got lucky. So many chances for people to do something stupid.

Imagine if military brass in the early 60s thought the Soviets had developed science fiction "AI" the way people view "AI" today? Defcon 1 no doubt.
sklearncowboy
·قبل 5 سنوات·discuss
What proof is there that I am generally intelligent in the same context we want computers to be in order for AGI to be true?

Imagine how much farther the field would be if we stopped wasting resources on this fantasy land nonsense.

All intelligence is specialized intelligence.
sklearncowboy
·قبل 5 سنوات·discuss
Exactly. The irony to me is no one really wants price discovery in order for volatility to be reduced so that crypto can actually function as money. Function as money in the sense of signing a year long apartment lease for x amount of BTC a month. Not just paying in USD after a conversion.

That is almost the last thing people want.
sklearncowboy
·قبل 5 سنوات·discuss
To me the easiest way to understand social media is to read Freud's Group Psychology and the Analysis of the Ego. It is a brilliant book as it is really just Freud commentating on The Crowd: A Study of the Popular Mind by Gustave Le Bon.

The most basic idea is once you join a psychological group you stop being fully rational and mostly act on emotions driven by the group.

Everything just makes sense after digesting parts of that book.

The part you mention about organized religions is also just the group.
sklearncowboy
·قبل 5 سنوات·discuss
Yea this article sounds like a good strategy on how to get correct answers on a test of things you don't understand.

I just think the categorization of "textbook" is nonsense to start with. Of course you want a book with text as opposed to a picture book.

You have to start with the right book. The variability between books on a subject is so huge and probably even different person to person based on prior knowledge.
sklearncowboy
·قبل 5 سنوات·discuss
I think the main problem is we think that power laws are not natural and that nature distributes everything on a normal distribution.

That is true for the height of humans. Most other things with humans, not so much.
sklearncowboy
·قبل 5 سنوات·discuss
Isn't the problem though that any time you introduce a threshold the threshold gets gamed?

A tax on people making $400k a year causes a giant spike in people making $399k a year.

I think no matter what you do, bad unintended consequences will occur.
sklearncowboy
·قبل 5 سنوات·discuss
No doubt. I love it so much. I turn off all the desktop effects but translucency and then it is just instantly responsive and beautiful.

I can't even imagine using anything else at this point.
sklearncowboy
·قبل 5 سنوات·discuss
How can wanting to know the origins of this pandemic not be scientific?

The idea of not wanting to know is just bizarre to me.

I feel like people are so wrapped up in the political sport/game that it is almost like people who lean Democrat don't want to investigate this further because they don't want the Republicans who questioned this at the start to look good if it did happen to come from a lab. As if you can only lose from further investigation.

As someone who doesn't really care for either party, that is a completely insane.

To say it will be inconclusive so why bother, again, a bizarre line of thinking to me.
sklearncowboy
·قبل 5 سنوات·discuss
China was already way past this by the late 90s.

This is old thinking. Same battlefield with different technology.

The war that changed everything was the 1st Gulf War.

20 years ago they could see how stupid it was to use weapons to blow things up that cost more than what you were blowing up.

Our military has already been lapped. We only don't think so because we waste so much money on outdated expensive weapon systems and then use the amount spent as proof we have the better military.