While I agree with the points he’s raising let me play devils advocate.
There’s a lot more code being written now that’s not counted in these statistics. A friend of mine vibe coded a writing tool for himself entirely using Gemini canvas.
I regularly vibe code little analyses or scripts in ChatGPT which would have required writing code earlier.
None of these are counted in these statistics.
And yes AI isn’t quite good enough to super charge app creation end to end. Claude has only been good for a few months. That’s hardly enough time for adoption !
This would be like analysing the impact of languages like Perl or Python on software 3 months after their release.
Thankfully centralized things ljke laws, courts and police exist to bail out the code is law jungle of “decentralized” finance.
It’s becoming apparent to me that the main innovation of crypto is a form of regulatory arbitrage. You or me cannot sell derivatives like Goldman Sachs but in crypto land you totally can from your home with a laptop.
You can start a gambling casino on ethereum and get away with not following any of the laws regarding gambling as long as you couch it in financial and blockchain buzzwords.
Some people will make a lot of money doing legitimate work and some scamming others until all of this becomes big enough to become mainstream and regulated.
I know that Comma isn’t as successful as Waymo and probably may not be. But that personal bias aside this was a beautifully written ode to what technology ideally should be and what society needs to evolve to and look like over the next few centuries. An ecological sensibility with a lower footprint combined with a desire to allow individuals to harness more of their autonomy and freedom.
Completely disagree with this assessment. Storage is the key problem. There are no easy solutions and you need scalable capacity that can quickly spin up in the mean time. Otherwise you’ll have to build some sort of crazy world wide energy internet that won’t be finished in time to beat climate change.