Say 1/3 of the crematoriums are seeing 3x dead on average nation wide. That'll be `1400m/(70*365)/3*2 == 36k` extra death per day which is 10x of official number..
[edit]: i used the same logic to predict the number for Wuhan in Jan 2020 which turned out to be fairly accurate
[1] https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/chinese-troops-did...