I'd argue that there's no way to know such a thing in the moment, and the reason for that is because you're observing a living thing learn and discover facts about the best way to survive.
It's an open ended scenario. The organism could learn a robust survival method that helps it survive more efficiently, without making it more lethal. It could learn nothing at all. It could learn to be less lethal but more transmissible. It could learn to spread to other organisms, or whatever opportunity proves advantageous.
It's possible we could notice pathways that represent doomsday hazards long before it would be possible for an organism to naturally evolve into a new version of itself. With that, we might focus on adaptations that never appear, yet cannot be ignored. Like watching for a robber that never robs us.
It's probably only worth worrying about robberies when it looks like we have a robber on our hands. And right now, we're observing an awfully effective robber in action, right now.
It's an open ended scenario. The organism could learn a robust survival method that helps it survive more efficiently, without making it more lethal. It could learn nothing at all. It could learn to be less lethal but more transmissible. It could learn to spread to other organisms, or whatever opportunity proves advantageous.
It's possible we could notice pathways that represent doomsday hazards long before it would be possible for an organism to naturally evolve into a new version of itself. With that, we might focus on adaptations that never appear, yet cannot be ignored. Like watching for a robber that never robs us.
It's probably only worth worrying about robberies when it looks like we have a robber on our hands. And right now, we're observing an awfully effective robber in action, right now.