The Saudis Are Lying About Their Oil Production?(oilprice.com)

329 pointsby olivermarks7 anni fa280 comments

The Saudis Are Lying About Their Oil Production?

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Why-The-Saudis-Are-Lying-About-Their-Oil-Production.html

286 comments

Comment by Dr Mamdouh G Salameh, International Oil Economist Visiting Professor of Energy Economics at ESCP Europe Business School, London is also interesting. No way of verifying accuracy.

'Having done a lot of research and analysis for years about Saudi proven oil reserves, I reached the final conclusion that Saudi reserves couldn’t be more than 55 billion barrels (bb) rather than the 266 bb the Saudi have been claiming for years.

Moreover, the Saudis haven’t been transparent enough about their production capacity. Their oil production peaked in 2005 at 9.65 million barrels a day (mbd) and has been in decline since. In my estimate, their production capacity doesn’t exceed 8.5 mbd. Moreover, they never had a spare capacity of 2 mbd as they have been claiming because to have such a spare capacity would mean that their production capacity is 12 mbd and this figure has never been tested. When they say they are producing 10 mbd, at least 1.5 mbd come from their stored crude.

With estimated stored crude oil of 130 million barrels , the Saudis could continue to meet their customer needs for less than a month after which their stored oil would have been totally exhausted. The proof they aren’t telling the truth about the timetable for repairs is that they have been telling their customers that some lighter grades would likely be replaced with heavier crude grades.

The truth about Saudi oil potential and reserves will eventually come out. And when it does, the global oil market will get the shock of its life with a horrendous global oil crisis to match.'

colechristensen7 anni fa

>the global oil market will get the shock of its life with a horrendous global oil crisis to match.

It won't.

There is a very large amount of oil production on hold or at low capacity in North America because the prices are currently too low and very much expected to go higher in the future.

Prices will rise up to 50% but that isn't much of a crisis or unprecedented.

Renewables will become more attractive and their growth will accelerate a little.

sailingparrot7 anni fa

> "Prices will rise up to 50% but that isn't much of a crisis "

If a 50% price increase isn't a crisis, then what is?

aussiegreenie7 anni fa

Oil prices are VERY VOLATILE in the last 50 years the number of times the price of oil has either halved or doubled with a year is not uncommon. It has occurred at least a dozen times.

And more importantly, oil prices are less important to the economy than most people believe.

TL: DR - Oil prices are not that important

jayalpha7 anni fa

"And more importantly, oil prices are less important to the economy than most people believe."

ROTFL

https://oilvoice.com/Opinion/24972/Our-Finite-World-Why-We-G...

csomar7 anni fa

(4)