This is part of the MC rollout. I simulate the bot playing games with seeing the Skat, and playing games without seeing the Skat. Then it is based purely on which game has higher EV. Which cards to discard when looking at the Skat is another MC rollout.
It is worth saying that the MC rollouts are fairly cheap because the playing architecture is cheap.
- Human Cloning
- Human DNA editing (though we'll have to see)
- CFCs
- Various agrochemical products
- Geneva convention (mostly)
- Radio, television & newspaper all had much stricter rules around what could be said on them
TESCREAL is not a sensible grouping of people or ideologies. EAs will in general not be a fan of the Elon Musk, Peter Thiel and Andreessen world. I recommend reading [1].
It will probably be a future. My guess is that for many businesses it will still make sense to have more powerful models and to run them centralized in a datacenter. Also, by batching queries you can get efficiencies at scale that might be hard to replicate locally. I can also see a hybrid approach where local models get good at handing off to cloud models for complex queries.
As AI gets better the bottlenecks will be the place to watch. Bottleneck jobs will become more productive => they either pay more or more bottleneck jobs will be created or some in between situation occurs. This will continue until no bottlenecks are left.
You can think of theorem provers as really crazy type checkers. It's not just a handful of tests that have to run, but more like a program that has to compile.
If you've never seen it then you haven't been paying attention. For example Anthropic (the biggest AI org which is "safety" aligned) released a big report last year on metal well being [1]. Also here is their page on societal impacts [2]. Here is PauseAI's list of risks [3], it has deepfakes as its second issue!
The problem is not that no one is trying to solve the issues that you mentioned, but that it is really hard to solve them. You will probably have to bring large class action law suits, which is expensive and risky (if it fails it will be harder to sue again). Anthropic can make their own models safe, and PauseAI can organize some protests, but neither can easily stop grok from producing endless CSAM.
We should do both and it makes sense that different orgs have different focuses. It makes no sense to berate one set of orgs for not working on the exact type of thing that you want. PauseAI and ControlAI have each received less than $1 million in funding. They are both very small organizations as far as these types of advocacy non-profits go.
The amount of cattle required to maintain pasture is way fewer than we have right now. From a CO2 perspective factory farmed cattle tends to look a little better than "free-range" mostly due to reduced land use changes (but it is obviously worse from a cruelty perspective). Finally, we can still have farm animals without eating them!!
nmk.wtf
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