Trying to Fit a Logistic Curve(johndcook.com)
johndcook.com
Trying to Fit a Logistic Curve
https://www.johndcook.com/blog/2025/12/20/fit-logistic-curve/
1 comments
It unfortunately didn't get very much attention here at the time (2021), but "Sigmoids behaving badly: why they usually cannot predict the future as well as they seem to promise" at https://arxiv.org/abs/2109.08065 is related.