Campaign staffers tell NPR they make 'thousands' betting on their own candidates(npr.org)
npr.org
Campaign staffers tell NPR they make 'thousands' betting on their own candidates
https://www.npr.org/2026/05/07/nx-s1-5795891/prediction-markets-kalshi-polymarket-campaigns
2 comments
There's a rumor that Citadel built very successful macro prediction model based off polymarket/kalshi. It seems the wisdom of the crowd, plus a few insiders, generates enough alpha to turn a profit.