Seems like they’re trying to put open ai, anthropic, grok out of business by releasing their open source models, as google actually has massive profitable arms of their business outside ai, and be there to scoop up any remaining demand for huge models run in the cloud as a monopoly of sorts.
I’ve said from the beginning that these tools may be helpful but on average will not replace humans and be as revolutionary as how they’re being touted.
However, given government budget deficits and the need to outgrow inflation / the ever increasing annual interest burden the US gov carries, AI kinda HAS to be an insane productivity booster or else everything is kinda effed.
As I understand it, most of us economy / sp 500 growth in the last year or two has been attributed to AI spend and speculation…
This is my experience. Quantity of output is not the issue right now. Quality is. But I’m not sure if this will ever be solved for, given LLMs are non-deterministic sophisticated autocomplete at their core.
Sure, ‘human in the loop’ and all that jazz, but I feel like my knowledge suffers even with this approach. I have to use llms w pinpoint focus to get decent results.
The original copilot completions behavior might be peak llm performance for coding, sans having an agent write boilerplate and such.
Think ‘all is well’ now while ‘struggling’ generations are still alive and working. When they go away I’m more concerned. We may have to intentionally suppress tool access in education eg like certain levels of calculators being permitted for math classes, limit llm assistance similarly.
Value is going to be higher for professions where the human essence is an essential component of the function. Or professions that are more coupled with physical reality…my hedge is probably becoming an electrician.
I’d imagine IRL no-tech experiences will be the new ‘escapes’ too.
Maybe I’m too idealistic about the importance of the human spirit/essence…whatever that actually is.
Obviously concern yourself with your job and what you need to do to ensure you can obtain buying power going forward, but most problems and concerns about things like these go away if you just turn off your tech, or really be intentional about your usage.
Extremely hard to do, it is, but you’ll become quasi-Amish and realize how little is actually actionable and in our control.
You’ll also feel quite isolated, but peaceful. There’s always tradeoffs. You can’t have something without giving up not-something, if that makes sense.
Edit: So, essentially, ignorance is bliss, but try to look past the pejorative nature of that phrase and take it for what it is without status implications.