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Ask HN: Am I wrong on the future of AI?

1 points·by hnthrow562·2 ปีที่แล้ว·6 comments

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hnthrow562
·2 ปีที่แล้ว·discuss
AI race perspective by sama. https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/07/25/sam-altma...
hnthrow562
·2 ปีที่แล้ว·discuss
A different perspective from sama. (More doomer, less utopian as this)

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/07/25/sam-altma...
hnthrow562
·2 ปีที่แล้ว·discuss
This is painting a picture of a utopia. I'm not sure about that.

The entire AI trend - long term is based on the idea that AI will profoundly change the world. This has sparked a global race for developing better AI systems and the more dangerous winner takes all outcome. It is therefore not surprising that billions of dollars are being spent to develop more powerful AI systems as well as to restructure operations around them.

All the existing systems we have must fundamentally change for the better if we want a good future.

The positive aspects / utopia promises have much more visibility to the public than the negative effects / dystopian world.

ARE WE TO pretend that Human greed, selfishness, desires to dominate and control, animalistic behaviour, use of technologies for war and other destructive purposes don't exist?

We are living in times of war and chaos and uncertainty. Increasingly advanced technology is being used on the battlefield in more covert and strategic ways.

History is repeating itself again in many ways. Have we failed to learn? The consequences might be harsher with more advanced technology.

I have read and thought deeply about several anti AI doomer takes from prominent researchers and scientists but I haven't seen any which aren't based on assumptions or foolproof. For something that profoundly changes the world, it's bad to base your hopes on assumptions.

I see people dunking on llms which might not be AI's final form. Then they extrapolate that and say there is nothing to worry about. It is a matter of when not if.

The thought of being useless or worse being treated as nothing more than pests is worrying. Job losses are minor in comparison.

The only hope I have is that we are all in this together. I hope peace and goodwill prevails. I hope necessary actions are taken before it's too late.

A more pragmatic perspective indicates that there are more pressing problems that need to be addressed if we want to avoid a doomer scenario.
hnthrow562
·2 ปีที่แล้ว·discuss
I can't edit the title now, but I think it should have been: Why aren't there more AI doomers?