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semanticjudo

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semanticjudo
·ปีที่แล้ว·discuss
The author has implied a false dichotomy: positioning the article as “it does 10x or it does nothing” (my paraphrasing) is disingenuous and hyperbolic. My experience is that on several tasks professional devs, including myself, can get to an answer much faster than pre-LLM. For example, I’ve never had to use SQL frequently enough to become an expert. Prior to LLMs, creating queries beyond the basic would take an hour of Googling and keyboard head banging (or find an expert to help who is invariably doing their own job). Now, the same thing takes 6 minutes. Arguably 10x faster for this task. But since I don’t do this often nor have 40 other examples like this, I’d never claim it makes me 10x more productive. But I DO run into 5 or 6 of this and similar examples a week and several others of smaller magnitude. And that has a meaningful impact on my productivity. I could go on to describe in what ways I can see this productivity improvement but the primary point is that it is not all or nothing. An LLM might make me 20% more productive across my week and that is still a big deal when compared with just not having it.
semanticjudo
·2 ปีที่แล้ว·discuss
I try to capture this sentiment all the time in conversations here in America - we are privileged simply to say, “I feel unsafe” and have it taken seriously when vast swaths of the world would simply reply, “you and everyone else, why are you stating the obvious”

The western world’s calibration on what it means to feel unsafe is so far out of whack that it’s often hard to take seriously.
semanticjudo
·2 ปีที่แล้ว·discuss
Reminds me of the narcissism of small differences: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Narcissism_of_small_differen...

Few people will care because only a few are capable of caring and the world keeps on turning.
semanticjudo
·2 ปีที่แล้ว·discuss
I’ve led the software development at a design agency to build project and client collaboration tools in a web app over the last seven years. The company founders never set out to intentionally run a design agency with custom built software in house and from the outside looking in, building “project management” from scratch would sound like a terrible idea. Yet we’ve been profitable in every year and grown +30% more than half those years and were acquired last year with decent equity payouts. The acquiring company (300m+ rev / year) is now expanding the engineering team to build SW for their adjacent market.

Myself, my boss (former CEO) and current CEO strongly believe in the power and potential of in house engineering, in particular for spaces that “sound on paper” like solved problems. The efficiency and productivity gains from building exactly what you need is hard to quantify but has been proven in our business as indispensable and, we believe, a significant competitive advantage.

Of course, as others have mentioned, you need the right person to make this happen in your business. I would look for someone with proven startup and product development experience that you could ultimately see managing a small team. None of this is cheap but the ROI long term is likely justified given the issues you’ve outlined.
semanticjudo
·2 ปีที่แล้ว·discuss
yes, when the odds of winning are in my favor...

But I assume you know that so you must be asking, "Is there a situation where somebody can accurately understand the expected outcomes of any particular bet where the odds are against them winning and still come to the conclusion that taking the bet is rational?"

And one answer comes immediately to mind although I'm sure there are several: when I'm willing to lose for the entertainment value of having the chance to win and knowing that short term variance means I may in fact win.
semanticjudo
·2 ปีที่แล้ว·discuss
There always has been and always will be a “tax” on those who cannot or will not apply math to their financial decisions. Of course the degree to which we provide opportunities to collect this tax is a societal decision and we’ve almost certainly increased the opportunities for tax collectors in the last ten to fifteen years quite dramatically. And of course, de facto the under educated folks, who also are likely to be poor, will tend to be taxed at a disproportionate rate. Yet another wealth transfer. I wonder what societal attitudes led us down this road?