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turnsout

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turnsout
·4 เดือนที่ผ่านมา·discuss
Turns out I was onto something
turnsout
·5 เดือนที่ผ่านมา·discuss
This is super cool… It's interesting to see it build. I can't tell if the agent will run indefinitely, but it's been going for 7 or 8 minutes now, constantly tweaking its composition.

I find this approach to be more appealing than AI models that generate fully baked songs as waveforms. Give me something I can open in Logic and keep tweaking…
turnsout
·5 เดือนที่ผ่านมา·discuss
Because Opus 4.6 is better than 4.5. So if it's true that Sonnet 5 was so good they gave it the Opus name, does that mean there was an Opus upgrade that didn't pan out? And what is Sonnet 4.6? An upgraded Haiku? Just trying to follow the red yarn in the conspiracy board here.
turnsout
·5 เดือนที่ผ่านมา·discuss
yes, pretty much
turnsout
·5 เดือนที่ผ่านมา·discuss
Agreed, this is exciting, and has me thinking about completely different orchestrator patterns. You could begin to approach the solution space much more like a traditional optimization strategy such as CMA-ES. Rather than expect the first answer to be correct, you diverge wildly before converging.
turnsout
·5 เดือนที่ผ่านมา·discuss
Man, I'm in the exact opposite camp. 1 smart model beats 1000 chaos monkeys any day of the week.
turnsout
·5 เดือนที่ผ่านมา·discuss
If that's true, it would be surprising; the current Sonnet 4.6 is not in the same league as either Opus 4.5 or 4.6, either anecdotally or on benchmarks.
turnsout
·5 เดือนที่ผ่านมา·discuss
I think it's simpler than that. AI, like the internet, just makes it easier to communicate boring thoughts.

Boring thoughts always existed, but they generally stayed in your home or community. Then Facebook came along, and we were able to share them worldwide. And now AI makes it possible to quickly make and share your boring tools.

Real creativity is out there, and plenty of people are doing incredibly creative things with AI. But AI is not making people boring—that was a preexisting condition.
turnsout
·5 เดือนที่ผ่านมา·discuss
More lossy than the current non-English behavior?
turnsout
·5 เดือนที่ผ่านมา·discuss
I've been pleasantly surprised by the Claude integration with Xcode. Overall, it's a huge downgrade from Claude Code's UX (no way to manually enter plan mode, odd limitations, poor Xcode-specific tool use adherence, frustrating permission model), but in one key way it is absolutely clutch for SwiftUI development: it can render and view SwiftUI previews. Because SwiftUI is component based, it can home in on rendering errors, view them in isolation, and fix them, creating new test cases (#Preview) as needed.

This closes the feedback loop on the visual side. There's still a lot of work to be done on the behavioral side (e.g. it can't easily diagnose gesture conflicts on its own).
turnsout
·5 เดือนที่ผ่านมา·discuss
Do you think there would be value in a workflow that translates all non-English input to English first, then evaluates it, and translates back as needed?
turnsout
·5 เดือนที่ผ่านมา·discuss
Difficulty is the only true moat. [Astronaut: always has been]

Current examples: esoteric calculations that are not public knowledge; historical data that you collected and someone else didn't; valuable proprietary data; having good taste; having insider knowledge of a niche industry; making physical things; attracting an audience.

Some things that were recently difficult are now easy, but general perception has not caught up. That means there's arbitrage—you can charge the old prices for creating a web app, but execute it in a day. But this arbitrage will not last forever; we will see downward price pressure on anything that is newly easy. So my advice is: take advantage now.
turnsout
·5 เดือนที่ผ่านมา·discuss
This is what excited me about Sonnet 4.6. I've been running Opus 4.6, and switched over to Sonnet 4.6 today to see if I could notice a difference. So far, I can't detect much if any difference, but it doesn't hit my usage quota as hard.
turnsout
·5 เดือนที่ผ่านมา·discuss
It's more about supply going down (fewer people going into trades), which eventually affects demand for that shrinking pool.
turnsout
·5 เดือนที่ผ่านมา·discuss
At that point, you'd be relying on a bug in curl / Python / sh, not the bot!
turnsout
·5 เดือนที่ผ่านมา·discuss
Once demand drives electrician salaries up to $200k/year, the influencer grind will lose some of its shine
turnsout
·5 เดือนที่ผ่านมา·discuss
Absolutely. This is why I'm hesitant to go full "dark software factory" and try to build agent loops that iterate in YOLO mode without my input. I spent a day last week iterating Skills on a project by giving it the same high-level task and then pausing it when it went off the rails, self-reflect, and update its Skill. It almost took me out of the loop, but I still had to be there to clear up some misunderstandings and apply some common sense and judgment.
turnsout
·5 เดือนที่ผ่านมา·discuss
It seems intuitive that a naive self-generated Skill would be low-value, since the model already knows whatever it's telling itself.

However, I've found them to be useful for capturing instructions on how to use other tools (e.g. hints on how to use command-line tools or APIs). I treat them like mini CLAUDE.mds that are specific only to certain workflows.

When Claude isn't able to use a Skill well, I ask it to reflect on why, and update the Skill to clarify, adding or removing detail as necessary.

With these Skills in place, the agent is able to do things it would really struggle with otherwise, having to consume a lot of tokens failing to use the tools and looking up documentation, etc.
turnsout
·5 เดือนที่ผ่านมา·discuss
If you've ever tried to build something real with agentic AI, you know that it takes time. You can't (yet) snap your fingers and produce a fully market-viable clone of a SaaS product.

The specifics matter here. If you run a CRM for Dentists, can someone replicate your product in a weekend? I'm going to guess that dentists have some esoteric needs related to their CRM, and it's a little more complicated than an outsider might guess.

So what is the threat model? That a dentist is going to get fed up and try to DIY? I think you should encourage that, so they'll see what goes into it. That a 22 year old chooses "CRM for Dentists" as a thing to vibe-code over a weekend? Again, good luck with that.

I really dislike this SaaSocalypse fear mongering, because it's just not based in reality. Show me five examples of established SaaS companies being wiped out by vibe coding.
turnsout
·5 เดือนที่ผ่านมา·discuss
Absolutely. I'm glad the linked article exists! Hopefully it can prevent someone who really can't afford it from splurging on expensive cables.