Ask HN: How are you planning around AI uncertainty?
6 comments
1) Whether or not these tools will become what their proponents claim that they will. I don't think things will be radically different in 3-5 years than they are now, but I don't really know.
2) I'm an entrepreneur and software dev. I am not considering this uncertainty at all, to be honest. Right now, I don't think these tools will have much of an impact on my plans -- but there's too much uncertainty to be able to predict what's going to be with any degree of confidence. Whatever I do is going to be a shot in the dark, so my current plan is to continue doing what I do and be ready to alter plans when things become a bit more clear.
2) I'm an entrepreneur and software dev. I am not considering this uncertainty at all, to be honest. Right now, I don't think these tools will have much of an impact on my plans -- but there's too much uncertainty to be able to predict what's going to be with any degree of confidence. Whatever I do is going to be a shot in the dark, so my current plan is to continue doing what I do and be ready to alter plans when things become a bit more clear.
as someone else said, these concerns have existed before and amounted to nothing, so those of us who have aged are not easily agitated. in science a deep understanding of a method is only realised if you write the code to implement it. many mediocre scientists will turn to ai tools and make many mistakes because they cannot validate
1. Nobody has really convincingly shown a "killer app" that the mass market and/or regular people need or want or even desire. So far it's techies selling to techies with massive losses and "don't worry we will eventually make a profit somehow, now hold this bag."
2. Remembering when I was a lad in the late 90s that there was a common thread of wisdom that all the IT and techie and programming jobs were just going to be outsourced to India anyway so everyone was doomed.
Hell, you don't even have to go that far back. Remember when we were all going to be working and playing in the Metaverse on our fancy headsets after the bigbrains all went to Burning Man or whatever and came back talking about it and then decided nope?
2. Remembering when I was a lad in the late 90s that there was a common thread of wisdom that all the IT and techie and programming jobs were just going to be outsourced to India anyway so everyone was doomed.
Hell, you don't even have to go that far back. Remember when we were all going to be working and playing in the Metaverse on our fancy headsets after the bigbrains all went to Burning Man or whatever and came back talking about it and then decided nope?
Most people are looking for a farm.
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1) What's your biggest uncertainty around AI capabilities in the future, 3-5 year timeframe?
2) How are you planning around the uncertainty? (And are you a founder or an engineer or something else)